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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 791
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 400 AM EST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ELIZABETH
CITY NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 789...WW 790...
DISCUSSION...BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING/MOISTENING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THIS EVE/EARLY THU OVER THE NC CSTL PLN...AHEAD OF BROKEN BAND OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS NOW EXTENDING FROM W OF FLO SSW TO NEAR SAV. GIVEN
DESTABILIZING LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT...THE CONVECTION MAY INCREASE OVER
FAR ERN SC AND ERN NC LATER THIS EVE/EARLY THU AS REGION IS GLANCED
BY WAVE OF ASCENT/DPVA ASSOCIATED WITH ERN TN SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
VERY STRONG AND VEERING WIND PROFILES AND ABSENCE OF STRONG LINEAR
FORCING SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS WITH LOW LVL
ROTATION...AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22050.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 791 TORNADO NC SC CW 030000Z - 030900Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
20SSW FLO/FLORENCE SC/ - 55ESE ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM EITHER SIDE /21SSW FLO - 47ESE ECG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22050.
LAT...LON 34568020 36617563 35297491 33257950
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 791 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 791
VALID 030640Z - 030740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE ILM
TO 30 E RWI.
..SPC..12/03/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 791
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-031-049-055-095-103-117-133-137-147-177-187-030740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN
DARE HYDE JONES
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-030740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 791
VALID 030525Z - 030640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE ILM
TO 10 ENE ILM TO 30 W OAJ TO 15 E RWI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2193
..GARNER..12/03/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 791
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-031-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-177-187-
030640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-030640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 791
VALID 030430Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE CRE TO
20 WNW GSB.
..GARNER..12/03/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 791
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-049-055-061-065-079-083-095-101-103-107-117-
127-129-133-137-141-147-163-177-187-191-195-030540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET CRAVEN DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GREENE
HALIFAX HYDE JOHNSTON
JONES LENOIR MARTIN
NASH NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-030540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 791
VALID 030325Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW CRE
TO 35 W GSB.
..GARNER..12/03/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 791
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-079-083-085-095-101-
103-107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-163-177-187-191-195-
030440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HYDE JOHNSTON
JONES LENOIR MARTIN
NASH NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC051-030440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-030440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 791
VALID 030235Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CHS TO
20 E SOP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2191
..GARNER..12/03/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 791
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-079-083-085-095-101-
103-107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-177-187-191-195-
030340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HYDE JOHNSTON
JONES LENOIR MARTIN
NASH NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
ROBESON SAMPSON TYRRELL
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC033-043-051-030340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON GEORGETOWN HORRY
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-030340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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