Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 505 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF FORT WORTH
TEXAS TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 270...WW 271...
DISCUSSION...SCTD INTENSE TSTMS...POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP GENERALLY SWD ALONG WEAK NNE-SSW COLD FRONT.
MODEST...DIFFLUENT UPR FLOW...AND VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER/STRONG
SFC-BASED CAPE E OF FRONT SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/ISOLD TORNADOES...DESPITE WEAK SFC FLOW.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 272 TORNADO TX 082205Z - 090500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60N FTW/FORT WORTH TX/ - 50ESE SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /33SSW ADM - 30N JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
LAT...LON 33689623 31099862 31090081 33689850
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 272 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 272
VALID 090350Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE SJT
TO 30 NNE BWD TO 30 SE SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 770
..GUYER..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 272
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-077-083-085-093-095-097-113-121-133-143-147-181-193-
221-237-251-267-281-307-319-327-333-337-363-367-411-413-425-435-
439-451-497-090440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CLAY
COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HOOD JACK JOHNSON
KIMBLE LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD MILLS
MONTAGUE PALO PINTO PARKER
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL
SUTTON TARRANT TOM GREEN
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 272
VALID 090230Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N SJT TO
30 S ABI TO 35 ENE ABI TO 55 NE ABI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 770
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 272
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-059-077-083-093-095-097-113-121-133-143-193-221-237-
251-267-281-307-319-327-333-337-363-367-399-411-413-425-429-435-
439-451-497-503-090340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
CLAY COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HOOD JACK
JOHNSON KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RUNNELS SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL STEPHENS
SUTTON TARRANT TOM GREEN
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 272
VALID 090145Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 272
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-059-077-083-093-095-097-113-121-133-143-193-221-237-
251-281-307-333-337-363-367-399-411-425-429-439-451-497-503-
090240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
CLAY COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HOOD JACK
JOHNSON LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RUNNELS SAN SABA
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TOM GREEN WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 272
VALID 090035Z - 090140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE SJT
TO 25 SSW ABI TO 15 SE ABI TO 35 ENE ABI TO 55 NE ABI.
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 272
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-059-077-083-093-095-097-113-121-133-143-193-221-237-
251-281-307-333-337-363-367-399-411-425-429-439-451-497-503-
090140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
CLAY COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HOOD JACK
JOHNSON LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RUNNELS SAN SABA
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TOM GREEN WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 272
VALID 082335Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 272
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC035-049-059-077-083-093-095-097-113-121-133-143-193-221-237-
251-281-307-333-337-363-367-399-411-417-425-429-439-441-451-497-
503-090040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
CLAY COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ERATH
HAMILTON HOOD JACK
JOHNSON LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RUNNELS SAN SABA
SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL STEPHENS
TARRANT TAYLOR TOM GREEN
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.