Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 79
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA
EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
FORT POLK LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES WEST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 77...WW 78...
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED RECENTLY IN THE
EXTREME SE TX IN THE ERN PART OF WW 77. STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS
OCCURRED ACROSS SRN LA IN ADVANCE OF THIS CONVECTION...AND S OF A
SLOW-MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST N OF I-10. THOUGH
BACKGROUND LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT STRONG...THE BACKED WINDS ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ARE RESULTING IN A RELATIVE MAXIMUM IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
THIS SOMEWHAT STRONGER SHEAR...COMBINED WITH STRONG SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 F...WILL LIKELY
SUPPORT A CLUSTER OF HP SUPERCELLS ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 79 TORNADO LA MS 271955Z - 280200Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55ENE POE/FORT POLK LA/ - 30W LFT/LAFAYETTE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /11ENE AEX - 33E LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 31349095 30199113 30199381 31349366
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 79 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 79
VALID 272350Z - 280040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-033-037-039-053-055-077-079-097-115-121-
125-280040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
ST. LANDRY VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC157-280040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 79
VALID 272235Z - 272340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-033-037-039-053-055-077-079-097-115-121-
125-272340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
ST. LANDRY VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC157-272340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 79
VALID 272135Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/27/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-033-037-039-053-055-077-079-097-115-121-
125-272240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
ST. LANDRY VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC157-272240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.