Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 882
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 881. WATCH NUMBER 881 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
350 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES IN N-S RAINBANDS
WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...E AND SE OF THE CENTER OF TD GUSTAV. THE TORNADO
THREAT MAY GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY EARLY TONIGHT AS BOUNDARY LAYER
BASED INSTABILITY WEAKENS...AND THE WIND FIELD WEAKENS VERY SLOWLY
WITH TIME.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 882 TORNADO LA MS CW 022050Z - 030300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NW JAN/JACKSON MS/ - 20SW MSY/NEW ORLEANS LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /41NW JAN - 17SW MSY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18035.
REPLACES WW 881..LA MS CW
LAT...LON 32938969 29798940 29799156 32939193
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 882 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 882
VALID 030235Z - 030300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE MLU TO
45 NNE HEZ TO 40 SW JAN TO 30 SE HEZ TO 40 NNE LFT.
WW 882 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 030300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207.
..EDWARDS..09/03/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-041-065-077-083-107-125-030300-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN
MADISON POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND
TENSAS WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-021-029-037-063-149-157-030300-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAIBORNE COPIAH
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON WARREN
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 882
VALID 030140Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E MLU TO
10 NNE JAN TO 25 ESE JAN TO 30 SW PIB TO 30 SSW PIB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPCMESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207.
..EDWARDS..09/03/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-041-047-051-063-065-071-077-083-089-
091-093-095-103-105-107-117-121-125-030240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS
POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND ST. CHARLES
ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-037-045-049-063-065-077-085-091-109-113-121-
127-147-149-157-030240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN HANCOCK
HINDS JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MARION
PEARL RIVER PIKE RANKIN
SIMPSON WALTHALL WARREN
WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 882
VALID 030045Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207.
..EDWARDS..09/03/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-051-063-065-067-071-077-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-121-123-125-030140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-037-045-049-055-063-065-077-085-089-091-109-
113-121-125-127-147-149-157-163-030140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN HANCOCK
HINDS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SHARKEY
SIMPSON WALTHALL WARREN
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-030140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 882
VALID 022350Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..09/02/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-051-063-065-067-071-077-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-121-123-125-030040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-037-045-049-055-063-065-073-077-079-085-
089-091-109-113-121-123-125-127-129-147-149-157-163-030040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HINDS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAMAR
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WARREN WILKINSON
YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 882
VALID 022245Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..09/02/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-051-063-065-067-071-077-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-121-123-125-022340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-037-045-049-055-063-065-073-077-079-085-
089-091-109-113-121-123-125-127-129-147-149-157-163-022340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HINDS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAMAR
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WARREN WILKINSON
YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-022340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 882
VALID 022135Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..09/02/08
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 882
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-051-063-065-067-071-077-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-121-123-125-022240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE ORLEANS POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-029-031-037-045-049-055-063-065-073-077-079-085-
089-091-109-113-121-123-125-127-129-147-149-157-163-022240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HINDS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAMAR
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WARREN WILKINSON
YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-022240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
