SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 838
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   310 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE
          NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
          CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
          VERMONT
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF SYRACUSE NEW YORK TO 25 MILES NORTH OF HOULTON MAINE.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 837...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL NY IN
   REGION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...AND AHEAD OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   OVER NORTHERN OH.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS
   PARTS OF VT/NH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A RISK OF HAIL IN
   STRONGER CELLS.  ANOTHER MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   BEGIN AFFECTING NORTHERN ME IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A RISK OF
   DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.  THIS LINE WILL SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
   EVENING INTO MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCH AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...HART

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 838
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   310 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE
          NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
          CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
          VERMONT
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF SYRACUSE NEW YORK TO 25 MILES NORTH OF HOULTON MAINE.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 837...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL NY IN
   REGION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...AND AHEAD OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   OVER NORTHERN OH.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS
   PARTS OF VT/NH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A RISK OF HAIL IN
   STRONGER CELLS.  ANOTHER MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   BEGIN AFFECTING NORTHERN ME IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A RISK OF
   DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.  THIS LINE WILL SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
   EVENING INTO MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCH AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...HART

   WOUS64 KWNS 181908
   WOU8
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 838
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   310 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 838 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MEC003-007-017-019-021-025-190200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0838.080818T1910Z-080819T0200Z/
   
   ME 
   .    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   AROOSTOOK            FRANKLIN            OXFORD              
   PENOBSCOT            PISCATAQUIS         SOMERSET            
   
   
   NHC003-007-009-190200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0838.080818T1910Z-080819T0200Z/
   
   NH 
   .    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CARROLL              COOS                GRAFTON             
   
   
   NYC001-007-011-015-017-019-023-025-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-
   053-057-065-067-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-
   113-115-123-190200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0838.080818T1910Z-080819T0200Z/
   
   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALBANY               BROOME              CAYUGA              
   CHEMUNG              CHENANGO            CLINTON             
   CORTLAND             DELAWARE            ESSEX               
   FRANKLIN             FULTON              HAMILTON            
   HERKIMER             JEFFERSON           LEWIS               
   MADISON              MONTGOMERY          ONEIDA              
   ONONDAGA             OSWEGO              OTSEGO              
   RENSSELAER           SARATOGA            SCHENECTADY         
   SCHOHARIE            SCHUYLER            SENECA              
   ST. LAWRENCE         STEUBEN             TIOGA               
   TOMPKINS             WARREN              WASHINGTON          
   YATES                
   
   
   VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
   190200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0838.080818T1910Z-080819T0200Z/
   
   VT 
   .    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADDISON              BENNINGTON          CALEDONIA           
   CHITTENDEN           ESSEX               FRANKLIN            
   GRAND ISLE           LAMOILLE            ORANGE              
   ORLEANS              RUTLAND             WASHINGTON          
   WINDHAM              WINDSOR             
   
   
   SLZ022-190200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0838.080818T1910Z-080819T0200Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 
   
   ATTN...WFO...CAR...BUF...BTV...ALY...BGM...GYX...
   
   
   

   SAW8 
   WW 838 SEVERE TSTM ME NH NY VT 181910Z - 190200Z
   AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   25SW SYR/SYRACUSE NY/ - 25N HUL/HOULTON ME/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /21SSW SYR - 21SE PQI/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   LAT...LON 43797647 47416780 45546780 41917647
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.
   

Watch 838 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 838

VALID 190130Z - 190200Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW BTV
TO 25 NNW BML TO 25 N HUL.

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 838 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
19/02Z. 
..KERR..08/19/08

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 838 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MEC007-017-025-190200-

ME 
.    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FRANKLIN	     OXFORD		 SOMERSET	     
$$


NHC003-007-009-190200-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COOS		 GRAFTON	     
$$


NYC001-011-019-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-053-057-065-067-075-
083-089-091-093-095-099-113-115-123-190200-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     CAYUGA		 CLINTON	     
ESSEX		     FRANKLIN		 FULTON 	     
HAMILTON	     HERKIMER		 JEFFERSON	     
LEWIS		     MADISON		 MONTGOMERY	     
ONEIDA		     ONONDAGA		 OSWEGO 	     
RENSSELAER	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SENECA 	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 YATES		     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
190200-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


SLZ022-190200-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 838

VALID 190030Z - 190140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..08/19/08

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 838 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MEC003-007-017-019-021-025-190140-

ME 
.    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AROOSTOOK	     FRANKLIN		 OXFORD 	     
PENOBSCOT	     PISCATAQUIS	 SOMERSET	     
$$


NHC003-007-009-190140-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COOS		 GRAFTON	     
$$


NYC001-011-019-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-053-057-065-067-075-
083-089-091-093-095-099-113-115-123-190140-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     CAYUGA		 CLINTON	     
ESSEX		     FRANKLIN		 FULTON 	     
HAMILTON	     HERKIMER		 JEFFERSON	     
LEWIS		     MADISON		 MONTGOMERY	     
ONEIDA		     ONONDAGA		 OSWEGO 	     
RENSSELAER	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SENECA 	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 YATES		     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
190140-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


SLZ022-190140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 838

VALID 182330Z - 190040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..08/18/08

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 838 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MEC003-007-017-019-021-025-190040-

ME 
.    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AROOSTOOK	     FRANKLIN		 OXFORD 	     
PENOBSCOT	     PISCATAQUIS	 SOMERSET	     
$$


NHC003-007-009-190040-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COOS		 GRAFTON	     
$$


NYC001-011-019-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-053-057-065-067-075-
083-089-091-093-095-099-113-115-123-190040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     CAYUGA		 CLINTON	     
ESSEX		     FRANKLIN		 FULTON 	     
HAMILTON	     HERKIMER		 JEFFERSON	     
LEWIS		     MADISON		 MONTGOMERY	     
ONEIDA		     ONONDAGA		 OSWEGO 	     
RENSSELAER	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SENECA 	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 YATES		     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
190040-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


SLZ022-190040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 838

VALID 182240Z - 182340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..08/18/08

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 838 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MEC003-007-017-019-021-025-182340-

ME 
.    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AROOSTOOK	     FRANKLIN		 OXFORD 	     
PENOBSCOT	     PISCATAQUIS	 SOMERSET	     
$$


NHC003-007-009-182340-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COOS		 GRAFTON	     
$$


NYC001-007-011-015-017-019-023-025-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-
053-057-065-067-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-
113-115-123-182340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     BROOME		 CAYUGA 	     
CHEMUNG 	     CHENANGO		 CLINTON	     
CORTLAND	     DELAWARE		 ESSEX		     
FRANKLIN	     FULTON		 HAMILTON	     
HERKIMER	     JEFFERSON		 LEWIS		     
MADISON 	     MONTGOMERY 	 ONEIDA 	     
ONONDAGA	     OSWEGO		 OTSEGO 	     
RENSSELAER	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SCHUYLER	     
SENECA		     STEUBEN		 TIOGA		     
TOMPKINS	     WARREN		 WASHINGTON	     
YATES		     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
182340-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


SLZ022-182340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 838

VALID 182150Z - 182240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..08/18/08

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 838 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MEC003-007-017-019-021-025-182240-

ME 
.    MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AROOSTOOK	     FRANKLIN		 OXFORD 	     
PENOBSCOT	     PISCATAQUIS	 SOMERSET	     
$$


NHC003-007-009-182240-

NH 
.    NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COOS		 GRAFTON	     
$$


NYC001-007-011-015-017-019-023-025-031-033-035-041-043-045-049-
053-057-065-067-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-
113-115-123-182240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALBANY		     BROOME		 CAYUGA 	     
CHEMUNG 	     CHENANGO		 CLINTON	     
CORTLAND	     DELAWARE		 ESSEX		     
FRANKLIN	     FULTON		 HAMILTON	     
HERKIMER	     JEFFERSON		 LEWIS		     
MADISON 	     MONTGOMERY 	 ONEIDA 	     
ONONDAGA	     OSWEGO		 OTSEGO 	     
RENSSELAER	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
SCHENECTADY	     SCHOHARIE		 SCHUYLER	     
SENECA		     STEUBEN		 TIOGA		     
TOMPKINS	     WARREN		 WASHINGTON	     
YATES		     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
182240-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


SLZ022-182240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.