Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 499
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CONNECTICUT
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
VERMONT
LAKE ONTARIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1005 AM UNTIL 600
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF SARANAC LAKE
NEW YORK TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO NEW YORK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER CENTRAL
NY THIS MORNING AS AIRMASS AHEAD OF ACTIVITY DESTABILIZES.
SUPERCELLS AND BOWS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE LIKELY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH MORE ORGANIZED
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HART
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 499
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CONNECTICUT
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
VERMONT
LAKE ONTARIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1005 AM UNTIL 600
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF SARANAC LAKE
NEW YORK TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO NEW YORK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER CENTRAL
NY THIS MORNING AS AIRMASS AHEAD OF ACTIVITY DESTABILIZES.
SUPERCELLS AND BOWS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE LIKELY.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH MORE ORGANIZED
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 499 TORNADO CT MA NY PA VT LO 101405Z - 102200Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N SLK/SARANAC LAKE NY/ - 25SW MSV/MONTICELLO NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /22E MSS - 35NW SAX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 44867205 41437311 41437716 44867633
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 499 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 499
VALID 102050Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..06/10/08
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 499
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC005-102140-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITCHFIELD
$$
MAC003-102140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-053-057-065-067-069-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-
099-101-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-123-102140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHEMUNG CHENANGO CLINTON
COLUMBIA CORTLAND DELAWARE
DUTCHESS ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO OSWEGO
OTSEGO RENSSELAER ST. LAWRENCE
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIOGA TOMPKINS
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE YATES
$$
PAC015-069-079-103-115-127-131-102140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADFORD LACKAWANNA LUZERNE
PIKE SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE
WYOMING
$$
VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
102140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CALEDONIA
CHITTENDEN ESSEX FRANKLIN
GRAND ISLE LAMOILLE ORANGE
ORLEANS RUTLAND WASHINGTON
WINDHAM WINDSOR
$$
LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-102140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US/CANADIAN BORDER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 499
VALID 101745Z - 101840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..06/10/08
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 499
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC005-101840-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LITCHFIELD
$$
MAC003-101840-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-053-057-065-067-069-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-
099-101-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-123-101840-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHEMUNG CHENANGO CLINTON
COLUMBIA CORTLAND DELAWARE
DUTCHESS ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO OSWEGO
OTSEGO RENSSELAER ST. LAWRENCE
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIOGA TOMPKINS
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE YATES
$$
PAC015-069-079-103-115-127-131-101840-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADFORD LACKAWANNA LUZERNE
PIKE SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE
WYOMING
$$
VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
101840-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CALEDONIA
CHITTENDEN ESSEX FRANKLIN
GRAND ISLE LAMOILLE ORANGE
ORLEANS RUTLAND WASHINGTON
WINDHAM WINDSOR
$$
LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-101840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US/CANADIAN BORDER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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