Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WESTERN OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1020 PM
UNTIL 500 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DAYTON OHIO TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 722...WW 724...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL KY WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WHILE POTENTIAL FOR
NEW STORMS INCREASES OVER WESTERN OH. EVENING SOUNDINGS AND LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST VERY FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR AND
THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SOME THREAT OF STRONG TORNADOES WILL ALSO PERSIST OVERNIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 725 TORNADO IN KY OH 190220Z - 190900Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNE DAY/DAYTON OH/ - 40SE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /27NNE ROD - 34SE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 40708263 36548483 36548698 40708493
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 725 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 725
VALID 190645Z - 190740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW CSV
TO 30 N LEX TO 30 SW CMH.
..MEAD..10/19/07
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-017-021-045-049-053-057-067-079-097-113-135-137-151-167-
181-207-209-239-190740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BOURBON BOYLE
CASEY CLARK CLINTON
CUMBERLAND FAYETTE GARRARD
HARRISON JESSAMINE LEWIS
LINCOLN MADISON MERCER
NICHOLAS RUSSELL SCOTT
WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-071-073-131-141-145-190740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS HIGHLAND HOCKING
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 725
VALID 190530Z - 190640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S BWG TO
30 ENE SDF TO 30 NNW LEX TO 10 SSW LUK TO 35 SSE DAY TO 25 WNW
CMH TO 20 N CMH.
..MEAD..10/19/07
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-017-021-023-037-045-049-053-057-067-073-079-
087-097-099-113-123-137-151-155-161-167-169-171-179-181-191-201-
207-209-211-215-217-229-239-190640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOURBON BOYLE
BRACKEN CAMPBELL CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GARRARD
GREEN HARRISON HART
JESSAMINE LARUE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION MASON
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON NICHOLAS PENDLETON
ROBERTSON RUSSELL SCOTT
SHELBY SPENCER TAYLOR
WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
OHC015-025-027-047-071-097-190640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLERMONT CLINTON
FAYETTE HIGHLAND MADISON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.