SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 712
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   300 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL KANSAS
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF
   KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUTCHINSON KANSAS.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 709...WW 710...WW 711...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING VICINITY OF DEEPENING SURFACE
   LOW NRN KS AND EVENTUALLY SWD ALONG DRY LN INTO NWRN OK.  WITH STEEP
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 30-40KT OF SHEAR...A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE
   LIKELY.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 712
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   300 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL KANSAS
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF
   KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUTCHINSON KANSAS.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 709...WW 710...WW 711...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING VICINITY OF DEEPENING SURFACE
   LOW NRN KS AND EVENTUALLY SWD ALONG DRY LN INTO NWRN OK.  WITH STEEP
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 30-40KT OF SHEAR...A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE
   LIKELY.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   WOUS64 KWNS 171955
   WOU2
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 712
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   300 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 712 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   KSC009-029-039-047-051-053-065-089-097-105-113-123-137-141-143-
   145-147-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-183-185-180300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0712.071017T2000Z-071018T0300Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BARTON               CLOUD               DECATUR             
   EDWARDS              ELLIS               ELLSWORTH           
   GRAHAM               JEWELL              KIOWA               
   LINCOLN              MCPHERSON           MITCHELL            
   NORTON               OSBORNE             OTTAWA              
   PAWNEE               PHILLIPS            RENO                
   REPUBLIC             RICE                ROOKS               
   RUSH                 RUSSELL             SALINE              
   SHERIDAN             SMITH               STAFFORD            
   
   
   NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-099-129-137-145-
   169-181-185-180300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0712.071017T2000Z-071018T0300Z/
   
   NE 
   .    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAMS                BUFFALO             CLAY                
   DAWSON               FILLMORE            FRANKLIN            
   FURNAS               GOSPER              HALL                
   HAMILTON             HARLAN              KEARNEY             
   NUCKOLLS             PHELPS              RED WILLOW          
   THAYER               WEBSTER             YORK                
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...GLD...DDC...TOP...
   
   
   

   SAW2 
   WW 712 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 172000Z - 180300Z
   AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   20N EAR/KEARNEY NE/ - 45SW HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /37SW OBH - 42WSW ICT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   LAT...LON 41009775 37599726 37599963 41000025
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.
   

Watch 712 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 712

VALID 180230Z - 180300Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE SLN TO
25 NW SLN TO 35 NNW CNK TO 40 N CNK.

WW 712 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 180300Z.

..PETERS..10/18/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC029-143-157-180300-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLOUD		     OTTAWA		 REPUBLIC	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 712

VALID 180140Z - 180240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE SLN TO
25 SE RSL TO 15 W RSL TO 50 NNE RSL TO 35 ESE HSI TO 30 E GRI.

..HART..10/18/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC029-051-053-089-105-123-141-143-157-167-169-180240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLOUD		     ELLIS		 ELLSWORTH	     
JEWELL		     LINCOLN		 MITCHELL	     
OSBORNE 	     OTTAWA		 REPUBLIC	     
RUSSELL 	     SALINE		 
$$


NEC059-129-169-185-180240-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FILLMORE	     NUCKOLLS		 THAYER 	     
YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 712

VALID 180045Z - 180140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE HUT
TO 45 SSW RSL TO 45 WSW RSL TO 25 SE HLC TO 15 S HSI TO 5 ENE GRI.

..HART..10/18/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC009-029-051-053-089-105-113-123-141-143-157-159-165-167-169-
180140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CLOUD		 ELLIS		     
ELLSWORTH	     JEWELL		 LINCOLN	     
MCPHERSON	     MITCHELL		 OSBORNE	     
OTTAWA		     REPUBLIC		 RICE		     
RUSH		     RUSSELL		 SALINE 	     
$$


NEC035-059-081-129-169-185-180140-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLAY		     FILLMORE		 HAMILTON	     
NUCKOLLS	     THAYER		 YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 712

VALID 172340Z - 180040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098.

..PETERS..10/17/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC009-029-039-047-051-053-065-089-097-105-113-123-137-141-143-
145-147-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-183-185-180040-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CLOUD		 DECATUR	     
EDWARDS 	     ELLIS		 ELLSWORTH	     
GRAHAM		     JEWELL		 KIOWA		     
LINCOLN 	     MCPHERSON		 MITCHELL	     
NORTON		     OSBORNE		 OTTAWA 	     
PAWNEE		     PHILLIPS		 RENO		     
REPUBLIC	     RICE		 ROOKS		     
RUSH		     RUSSELL		 SALINE 	     
SHERIDAN	     SMITH		 STAFFORD	     
$$


NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-099-129-137-145-
169-181-185-180040-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BUFFALO		 CLAY		     
DAWSON		     FILLMORE		 FRANKLIN	     
FURNAS		     GOSPER		 HALL		     
HAMILTON	     HARLAN		 KEARNEY	     
NUCKOLLS	     PHELPS		 RED WILLOW	     
THAYER		     WEBSTER		 YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 712

VALID 172250Z - 172340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098.

..PETERS..10/17/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC009-029-039-047-051-053-065-089-097-105-113-123-137-141-143-
145-147-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-183-185-172340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CLOUD		 DECATUR	     
EDWARDS 	     ELLIS		 ELLSWORTH	     
GRAHAM		     JEWELL		 KIOWA		     
LINCOLN 	     MCPHERSON		 MITCHELL	     
NORTON		     OSBORNE		 OTTAWA 	     
PAWNEE		     PHILLIPS		 RENO		     
REPUBLIC	     RICE		 ROOKS		     
RUSH		     RUSSELL		 SALINE 	     
SHERIDAN	     SMITH		 STAFFORD	     
$$


NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-099-129-137-145-
169-181-185-172340-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BUFFALO		 CLAY		     
DAWSON		     FILLMORE		 FRANKLIN	     
FURNAS		     GOSPER		 HALL		     
HAMILTON	     HARLAN		 KEARNEY	     
NUCKOLLS	     PHELPS		 RED WILLOW	     
THAYER		     WEBSTER		 YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 712

VALID 172145Z - 172240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..PETERS..10/17/07

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...GLD...DDC...GID...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC009-029-039-047-051-053-065-089-097-105-113-123-137-141-143-
145-147-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-183-185-172240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     CLOUD		 DECATUR	     
EDWARDS 	     ELLIS		 ELLSWORTH	     
GRAHAM		     JEWELL		 KIOWA		     
LINCOLN 	     MCPHERSON		 MITCHELL	     
NORTON		     OSBORNE		 OTTAWA 	     
PAWNEE		     PHILLIPS		 RENO		     
REPUBLIC	     RICE		 ROOKS		     
RUSH		     RUSSELL		 SALINE 	     
SHERIDAN	     SMITH		 STAFFORD	     
$$


NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-079-081-083-099-129-137-145-
169-181-185-172240-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BUFFALO		 CLAY		     
DAWSON		     FILLMORE		 FRANKLIN	     
FURNAS		     GOSPER		 HALL		     
HAMILTON	     HARLAN		 KEARNEY	     
NUCKOLLS	     PHELPS		 RED WILLOW	     
THAYER		     WEBSTER		 YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.