SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 469
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   245 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2007
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN AND CENTRAL MONTANA
          NORTHEAST WYOMING
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 130
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF GLASGOW MONTANA TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHERIDAN
   WYOMING.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 468...
   
   DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCTD TSTMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO
   FORM IN AREA OF SUSTAINED...MODERATELY MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW DURING THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS.  GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR DISTURBANCE NOW OVER NW/N
   CNTRL MT...AND STRONG SFC HEATING WILL FURTHER DESTABILIZE REGION
   WITH 40-50 KT DEEP WSWLY SHEAR.  A STORM OR TWO MAY ALSO FORM INVOF
   DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY EXTENDING ENE FROM NEAR LWT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 469
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   245 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2007
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN AND CENTRAL MONTANA
          NORTHEAST WYOMING
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 130
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF GLASGOW MONTANA TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHERIDAN
   WYOMING.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 468...
   
   DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCTD TSTMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO
   FORM IN AREA OF SUSTAINED...MODERATELY MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW DURING THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS.  GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR DISTURBANCE NOW OVER NW/N
   CNTRL MT...AND STRONG SFC HEATING WILL FURTHER DESTABILIZE REGION
   WITH 40-50 KT DEEP WSWLY SHEAR.  A STORM OR TWO MAY ALSO FORM INVOF
   DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY EXTENDING ENE FROM NEAR LWT.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   WOUS64 KWNS 012039
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 469
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   245 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2007
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 469 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MTC003-011-017-019-021-025-027-033-037-045-055-065-069-071-075-
   079-083-085-087-091-103-105-109-111-020500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0469.070701T2045Z-070702T0500Z/
   
   MT 
   .    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BIG HORN             CARTER              CUSTER              
   DANIELS              DAWSON              FALLON              
   FERGUS               GARFIELD            GOLDEN VALLEY       
   JUDITH BASIN         MCCONE              MUSSELSHELL         
   PETROLEUM            PHILLIPS            POWDER RIVER        
   PRAIRIE              RICHLAND            ROOSEVELT           
   ROSEBUD              SHERIDAN            TREASURE            
   VALLEY               WIBAUX              YELLOWSTONE         
   
   
   WYC005-011-033-045-020500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0469.070701T2045Z-070702T0500Z/
   
   WY 
   .    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CAMPBELL             CROOK               SHERIDAN            
   WESTON               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BYZ...UNR...GGW...TFX...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 469 SEVERE TSTM MT WY 012045Z - 020500Z
   AXIS..130 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   25NNW GGW/GLASGOW MT/ - 20SE SHR/SHERIDAN WY/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 115NM E/W /22NNW GGW - 23SE SHR/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   LAT...LON 48520398 44520405 44520933 48520966
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 469 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 469

VALID 020235Z - 020340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW SHR
TO 50 W MLS TO 20 ENE BHK.

..JEWELL..07/02/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC011-017-025-075-087-020340-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARTER		     CUSTER		 FALLON 	     
POWDER RIVER	     ROSEBUD		 
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-020340-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 469

VALID 020145Z - 020240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE 3HT TO
85 NNE BIL TO 35 ENE MLS TO 20 ENE BHK.

..JEWELL..07/02/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC011-017-025-075-087-020240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARTER		     CUSTER		 FALLON 	     
POWDER RIVER	     ROSEBUD		 
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-020240-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 469

VALID 020140Z - 020240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 E LWT TO
35 NW MLS TO 30 ENE MLS TO 15 NE BHK.

..JEWELL..07/02/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC011-017-025-075-087-105-020240-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARTER		     CUSTER		 FALLON 	     
POWDER RIVER	     ROSEBUD		 VALLEY 	     
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-020240-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 469

VALID 020030Z - 020140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S SHR TO
50 WNW 4BQ TO 70 W MLS TO 45 ENE LWT TO 5 ESE HVR.

..GRAMS..07/02/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC011-017-019-021-025-033-055-071-075-079-083-085-087-091-105-
109-020140-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARTER		     CUSTER		 DANIELS	     
DAWSON		     FALLON		 GARFIELD	     
MCCONE		     PHILLIPS		 POWDER RIVER	     
PRAIRIE 	     RICHLAND		 ROOSEVELT	     
ROSEBUD 	     SHERIDAN		 VALLEY 	     
WIBAUX		     
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-020140-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 469

VALID 012340Z - 020040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW SHR
TO 50 ENE BIL TO 25 NNW LWT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347.

..GRAMS..07/01/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-011-017-019-021-025-027-033-055-065-069-071-075-079-083-
085-087-091-103-105-109-020040-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     CARTER		 CUSTER 	     
DANIELS 	     DAWSON		 FALLON 	     
FERGUS		     GARFIELD		 MCCONE 	     
MUSSELSHELL	     PETROLEUM		 PHILLIPS	     
POWDER RIVER	     PRAIRIE		 RICHLAND	     
ROOSEVELT	     ROSEBUD		 SHERIDAN	     
TREASURE	     VALLEY		 WIBAUX 	     
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-020040-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 469

VALID 012235Z - 012340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GRAMS..07/01/07

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...UNR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MTC003-011-017-019-021-025-027-033-037-045-055-065-069-071-075-
079-083-085-087-091-103-105-109-111-012340-

MT 
.    MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN	     CARTER		 CUSTER 	     
DANIELS 	     DAWSON		 FALLON 	     
FERGUS		     GARFIELD		 GOLDEN VALLEY	     
JUDITH BASIN	     MCCONE		 MUSSELSHELL	     
PETROLEUM	     PHILLIPS		 POWDER RIVER	     
PRAIRIE 	     RICHLAND		 ROOSEVELT	     
ROSEBUD 	     SHERIDAN		 TREASURE	     
VALLEY		     WIBAUX		 YELLOWSTONE	     
$$


WYC005-011-033-045-012340-

WY 
.    WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMPBELL	     CROOK		 SHERIDAN	     
WESTON		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.