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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 369
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST INDIANA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
LAKE ERIE
LAKE HURON
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1140 AM UNTIL 700
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF FORT WAYNE INDIANA TO 55 MILES NORTH OF YOUNGSTOWN
OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 367...WW 368...
DISCUSSION...WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG AND LITTLE REMAINING
CINH...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECT TO RAPIDLY INCREASE IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT NOW INTO NWRN IND. 40-50 KT OF DEEP
LAYER SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH MOVING ACROSS GREAT LAKES WILL
SUPPORT STORMS EVOLVING INTO BOTH LINE SEGMENTS AND BOW WITH
ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 369 SEVERE TSTM IN MI OH LE LH 081540Z - 082300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NNW FWA/FORT WAYNE IN/ - 55N YNG/YOUNGSTOWN OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM N/S /35NNW FWA - 17W ERI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 42888548 43418068 40668068 40138548
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 369 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 369
VALID 082200Z - 082340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW CMH
TO 55 NNE CLE TO 35 NW ERI.
..SPC..06/08/07
ATTN...WFO...IWX...DTX...GRR...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 369
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC007-035-055-075-085-099-103-133-151-153-155-169-082340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA CUYAHOGA GEAUGA
HOLMES LAKE MAHONING
MEDINA PORTAGE STARK
SUMMIT TRUMBULL WAYNE
$$
LEZ146-147-148-166-167-168-082340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
LAKE ERIE/AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 369
VALID 082025Z - 082140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW CMH
TO 50 NNE CLE TO 75 NNW ERI.
..IMY..06/08/07
ATTN...WFO...IWX...DTX...GRR...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 369
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC005-007-035-041-055-075-083-085-093-099-103-117-133-139-151-
153-155-169-082140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA CUYAHOGA
DELAWARE GEAUGA HOLMES
KNOX LAKE LORAIN
MAHONING MEDINA MORROW
PORTAGE RICHLAND STARK
SUMMIT TRUMBULL WAYNE
$$
LEZ145-146-147-148-165-166-167-168-082140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
LAKE ERIE/VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 369
VALID 081930Z - 082040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MIE TO
30 SW FDY TO 35 SE DTW TO 45 E MTC TO 85 ESE BAX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1063
..IMY..06/08/07
ATTN...WFO...IWX...DTX...GRR...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 369
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC005-007-011-033-035-041-043-055-063-065-075-077-083-085-091-
093-099-101-103-107-117-123-133-139-143-147-149-151-153-155-159-
169-175-082040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA AUGLAIZE
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA DELAWARE
ERIE GEAUGA HANCOCK
HARDIN HOLMES HURON
KNOX LAKE LOGAN
LORAIN MAHONING MARION
MEDINA MERCER MORROW
OTTAWA PORTAGE RICHLAND
SANDUSKY SENECA SHELBY
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
UNION WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
LEZ143-144-145-146-147-148-164-165-166-167-168-082040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
LAKE ERIE/THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 369
VALID 081835Z - 081940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MIE
TO 15 WSW TOL TO 15 S DTW TO 50 NE MTC.
..IMY..06/08/07
ATTN...WFO...IWX...DTX...GRR...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 369
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-033-069-075-087-113-151-179-183-081940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
DE KALB HUNTINGTON JAY
LAGRANGE NOBLE STEUBEN
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-059-081940-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH HILLSDALE
$$
OHC003-005-007-011-033-035-039-041-043-051-055-063-065-069-075-
077-083-085-091-093-095-099-101-103-107-117-123-125-133-137-139-
143-147-149-151-153-155-159-161-169-171-173-175-081940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND ASHTABULA
AUGLAIZE CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA
DEFIANCE DELAWARE ERIE
FULTON GEAUGA HANCOCK
HARDIN HENRY HOLMES
HURON KNOX LAKE
LOGAN LORAIN LUCAS
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MERCER MORROW OTTAWA
PAULDING PORTAGE PUTNAM
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
SHELBY STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL UNION VAN WERT
WAYNE WILLIAMS WOOD
WYANDOT
$$
LEZ142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-163-164-165-166-167-168-
081940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
LAKE ERIE/DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 369
VALID 081735Z - 081840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW FWA TO
5 WNW ARB TO 35 ENE FNT.
..IMY..06/08/07
ATTN...WFO...IWX...DTX...GRR...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 369
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-033-069-075-179-183-081840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
DE KALB HUNTINGTON JAY
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC087-091-099-115-125-147-151-161-163-081840-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAPEER LENAWEE MACOMB
MONROE OAKLAND ST. CLAIR
SANILAC WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-005-007-011-033-035-039-041-043-051-055-063-065-069-075-
077-083-085-091-093-095-099-101-103-107-117-123-125-133-137-139-
143-147-149-151-153-155-159-161-169-171-173-175-081840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND ASHTABULA
AUGLAIZE CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA
DEFIANCE DELAWARE ERIE
FULTON GEAUGA HANCOCK
HARDIN HENRY HOLMES
HURON KNOX LAKE
LOGAN LORAIN LUCAS
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MERCER MORROW OTTAWA
PAULDING PORTAGE PUTNAM
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
SHELBY STARK SUMMIT
TRUMBULL UNION VAN WERT
WAYNE WILLIAMS WOOD
WYANDOT
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-163-164-165-166-
167-168-444-LHZ442-443-081840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR (U.S. PORTION)
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
LAKE ERIE/DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ERIE/GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.