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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 823
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
PARTS OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
PARTS OF WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 425 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH OF
JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CHATTANOOGA
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE ACROSS WATCH AREA AS
STRONG UPPER VORTEX CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL U.S. WITH
MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG AND MDTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES...THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH.
SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE SHEAR ENHANCING BOTH HAIL AND WIND
THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 823
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
PARTS OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
PARTS OF WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 425 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH OF
JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CHATTANOOGA
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE ACROSS WATCH AREA AS
STRONG UPPER VORTEX CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL U.S. WITH
MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG AND MDTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES...THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH.
SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE SHEAR ENHANCING BOTH HAIL AND WIND
THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 823 SEVERE TSTM KY NC TN VA WV 112025Z - 120300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55N JKL/JACKSON KY/ - 5ESE CHA/CHATTANOOGA TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /68WSW HNN - 3NNE GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38338200 35008379 35008644 38338476
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 823 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 823
VALID 120240Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE TYS
TO 25 WNW TYS TO 40 NNW TRI.
..SPC..10/12/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC067-073-173-120340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HANCOCK HAWKINS UNION
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-120340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-120340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 823
VALID 120135Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE TYS
TO 20 E CSV TO 45 SSE HTS.
..SPC..10/12/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-043-127-120240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD CARTER LAWRENCE
$$
TNC013-025-067-073-173-120240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE HANCOCK
HAWKINS UNION
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-120240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-059-099-120240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 823
VALID 120030Z - 120140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE TYS
TO 5 NNE CSV TO 5 WSW HTS.
..SPC..10/12/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-051-071-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-153-159-193-
195-120140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CLAY FLOYD HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MAGOFFIN MARTIN PERRY
PIKE
$$
TNC001-013-025-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-093-129-151-155-173-
120140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE
COCKE GRAINGER GREENE
HAMBLEN HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON KNOX MORGAN
SCOTT SEVIER UNION
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-120140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-059-099-120140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 823
VALID 112340Z - 120040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HSV TO
45 W HTS.
..SPC..10/11/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-065-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-147-153-159-165-175-189-193-195-197-205-235-237-
120040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
ROWAN WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
NCC039-043-075-113-173-120040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
MACON SWAIN
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-025-029-049-051-057-059-063-065-067-073-
089-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-173-
120040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE
COCKE FENTRESS FRANKLIN
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN POLK
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER UNION
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-120040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-059-099-120040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 823
VALID 112255Z - 112340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E BNA TO
45 ENE LEX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2103
..SPC..10/11/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-
203-205-231-235-237-112340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
NCC039-043-075-113-173-112340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
MACON SWAIN
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-025-029-031-035-041-049-057-059-061-
063-065-067-073-089-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-173-175-177-185-112340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND DEKALB FENTRESS
GRAINGER GREENE GRUNDY
HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK
HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
UNION VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-112340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-059-099-112340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 823
VALID 112150Z - 112240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..10/11/06
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RLX...MRX...GSP...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 823
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-011-013-017-019-021-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-
065-067-069-071-073-079-095-097-109-113-115-119-121-125-127-129-
131-133-137-147-151-153-155-159-165-167-169-171-173-175-181-189-
193-195-197-199-203-205-207-209-217-229-231-235-237-239-
112240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BATH
BELL BOURBON BOYD
BOYLE BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
FLOYD FRANKLIN GARRARD
HARLAN HARRISON JACKSON
JESSAMINE JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MARION MARTIN
MENIFEE MERCER METCALFE
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SCOTT TAYLOR WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
WOODFORD
$$
NCC039-043-075-113-173-112240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
MACON SWAIN
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-025-027-029-031-035-041-049-057-059-
061-063-065-067-073-087-089-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-
139-141-143-145-151-153-155-159-173-175-177-185-112240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CLAIBORNE CLAY COCKE
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS GRAINGER GREENE
GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JACKSON
JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN OVERTON
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SMITH
UNION VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
VAC027-051-105-169-195-720-112240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
WVC047-059-099-112240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MINGO WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$