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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NEW YORK
FAR WESTERN VERMONT
LAKE ERIE
LAKE ONTARIO
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF
BUFFALO NEW YORK TO 25 MILES NORTH OF RUTLAND VERMONT. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE SEWD
ACROSS MUCH OF NY STATE AND FAR WRN VT THROUGH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT NOW OVER SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AIR MASS IS
ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG. IN
ADDITION... DEEP LAYER SHEAR FROM 30-40 KT SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELLS AND SMALL LINEAR STRUCTURES WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...ALONG WITH SOME LARGE
HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...EVANS
Note:
The parallelogram is only an approximation to the watch,
the actual watch is defined by the outlines of the counties contained in it.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NEW YORK
FAR WESTERN VERMONT
LAKE ERIE
LAKE ONTARIO
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF
BUFFALO NEW YORK TO 25 MILES NORTH OF RUTLAND VERMONT. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE SEWD
ACROSS MUCH OF NY STATE AND FAR WRN VT THROUGH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT NOW OVER SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AIR MASS IS
ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG. IN
ADDITION... DEEP LAYER SHEAR FROM 30-40 KT SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELLS AND SMALL LINEAR STRUCTURES WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...ALONG WITH SOME LARGE
HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is defined by the list of counties (WOU).
SAW5
WW 655 SEVERE TSTM NY VT LE LO 291845Z - 300200Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20N BUF/BUFFALO NY/ - 25N RUT/RUTLAND VT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /18NNW BUF - 26SW MPV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
LAT...LON 44227873 44907294 42887294 42207873
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 655 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 655
VALID 300035Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S BUF TO
25 SSE SYR TO 30 NE BGM.
..MEAD..07/30/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC017-023-025-097-109-123-300140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE
SCHUYLER TOMPKINS YATES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 655
VALID 292335Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N BUF TO
30 WNW SYR TO 30 NNE SYR TO 25 SW MSS.
..MEAD..07/29/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-037-041-043-049-051-
053-055-057-065-067-069-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-097-099-109-
113-115-117-121-123-300040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAYUGA CHENANGO
CLINTON CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GENESEE HAMILTON
HERKIMER LEWIS LIVINGSTON
MADISON MONROE MONTGOMERY
ONEIDA ONONDAGA ONTARIO
OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA
TOMPKINS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WYOMING YATES
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-300040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
$$
SLZ022-300040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 655
VALID 292235Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..07/29/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-037-041-043-045-049-
051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-
097-099-109-113-115-117-121-123-292340-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAYUGA CHENANGO
CLINTON CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GENESEE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
LIVINGSTON MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA
TOMPKINS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WYOMING YATES
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-292340-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
$$
LEZ020-LOZ042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-292340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
LAKE ONTARIO/NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5 NM
OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
BUFFALO HARBOR AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 655
VALID 292140Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..07/29/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-037-041-043-045-049-
051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-
097-099-109-113-115-117-121-123-292240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAYUGA CHENANGO
CLINTON CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GENESEE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
LIVINGSTON MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA
TOMPKINS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WYOMING YATES
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-292240-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
$$
LEZ020-LOZ042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-292240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
LAKE ONTARIO/NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5 NM
OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
BUFFALO HARBOR AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 655
VALID 292035Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 1667
..GUYER..07/29/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-037-041-043-045-049-
051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-
097-099-109-113-115-117-121-123-292140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAYUGA CHENANGO
CLINTON CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GENESEE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
LIVINGSTON MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA
TOMPKINS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WYOMING YATES
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-292140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
$$
LEZ020-LOZ042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-292140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
LAKE ONTARIO/NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5 NM
OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
BUFFALO HARBOR AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 655
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..07/29/06
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BUF...BGM...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 655
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-011-017-019-023-025-029-031-033-035-037-041-043-045-049-
051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-083-089-091-093-095-
097-099-109-113-115-117-121-123-292040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAYUGA CHENANGO
CLINTON CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GENESEE HAMILTON
HERKIMER JEFFERSON LEWIS
LIVINGSTON MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA
TOMPKINS WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WYOMING YATES
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-292040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
$$
LEZ020-LOZ042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-292040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
LAKE ONTARIO/NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF
SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE ONTARIO/MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5 NM
OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
BUFFALO HARBOR AND THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
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