SPC AC 241915

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday
   across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas.

   ...Discussion...
   Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central
   and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface
   baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas
   and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley.  With the upper pattern across
   the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with
   ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward
   progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain
   roughly quasi-stationary Saturday.  This suggests potential for
   storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as
   heating/destabilization maximize.  While background large-scale
   subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple
   of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or
   wind are expected.

   ..Goss.. 04/24/2025

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z