SPC AC 220656

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN
   TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Thursday from western
   Texas and Oklahoma into southern Kansas.

   ...Southern/Central Plains...

   The low-amplitude, modest southwesterly flow regime will continue
   across the Plains on Thursday. Some guidance suggests a modest
   shortwave upper trough will migrate across the southern Rockies into
   the southern Plains Thursday afternoon. This will support weak lee
   troughing across the central/southern High Plains, and a dryline
   will likely develop from the OK/TX Panhandles into southwest TX.
   Meanwhile, a stalled frontal boundary from IA into western KS will
   slowly sag southward late in the afternoon into the nighttime hours.
   Southerly low-level flow will maintain 60s F dewpoints across a
   broad warm sector, and weak to moderate destabilization is expected
   across parts of TX/OK and southern KS. Some convection may be
   ongoing Thursday morning, resulting in uncertainty regarding where
   better destabilization will occur. Nevertheless, isolated severe
   thunderstorms will be possible along the dryline and potentially any
   outflow boundaries from prior convection, providing a risk for large
   hail and strong gusts.

   ..Leitman.. 04/22/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z