SPC AC 230730
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 AM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. for
Tuesday.
...Discussion...
A western ridge/eastern trough pattern will generally prevail
into/through the Day 3 period (Tuesday). Late in the period, height
falls associated with an approaching eastern Pacific trough will
begin affecting the Pacific Northwest region.
Isolated thunderstorm development is conditionally possible during
late afternoon over parts of North Texas near the remnant surface
front, where a deeply mixed boundary layer topped by weak CAPE will
exist. Gusty winds would be possible in this scenario. Greater
storm development may occur farther west -- into the Texas Panhandle
vicinity near/north of the front overnight, as the boundary layer
cools and a low-level jet develops. While small hail would be
possible as storms spread east-southeastward through the end of the
period, CAPE should remain marginal enough to largely preclude risk
for severe-caliber hail.
..Goss.. 03/23/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
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