Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
25,538
2,932,950
Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Panama City, FL...Lakeside, FL...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
25,349
2,924,641
Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Panama City, FL...Lakeside, FL...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 081727
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CST Sat Mar 08 2025
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA/NORTHERN FLORIDA...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from
parts of the Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia and North
Florida.
...Synopsis...
An upper low progged to lie near the Arklatex region early in the
period will steadily eastward, crossing lower Mississippi Valley
area during the evening, and then advancing across the central Gulf
Coast States with time.
As the upper system advances, a weak surface frontal wave over the
southeastern Louisiana vicinity will move eastward with time along
the remnant, west-to-east baroclinic zone extending eastward across
the southern Georgia/northern Florida vicinity. By the end of the
period, the low is forecast to redevelop off the southeastern U.S.
coast.
...Florida Panhandle eastward across southern Georgia and northern
Florida...
Thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing in the vicinity of a
west-to-east baroclinic zone lying across the area, with a couple of
stronger/organized storms potentially embedded within the broader
area of precipitation.
As the ongoing storms move eastward/offshore through the day, a new
round of convective development is forecast to begin by early
afternoon, ahead of the advancing upper system. However, weak
instability is forecast to persist through the period, which will
limit overall severe risk. With that said, amply strong/veering
flow with height will reside across the region, increasing overnight
in tandem with the progression of the upper trough. As such,
local/limited risk for marginal hail, gusty/damaging winds, or even
a brief tornado will be possible, with a couple of the
stronger/longer-lived updrafts.
..Goss.. 03/08/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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