Feb 22, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 22 17:12:23 UTC 2025 (20250222 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20250222 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20250222 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20250222 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20250222 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20250222 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 221712

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1112 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

   Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of southern Louisiana and
   immediate surrounding areas on Sunday. Additional isolated
   thunderstorms may occur in portions of coastal Oregon/Washington. No
   severe weather is expected.

   ...Synopsis...
   Cool and stable conditions at the surface will continue to prevail
   across the CONUS on Sunday. A shortwave trough moving southeastward
   through Texas will induce a weak surface low just south of the
   coastal plain regions. Greater moisture/buoyancy are still expected
   to remain offshore, however. Even so, weak elevated instability will
   exist in portions of southeast Texas into the lower Mississippi
   Valley. Scattered convection may produce lightning, particularly
   near the coast. In the Northwest, an initial compact shortwave will
   move ashore during the late afternoon into the evening. While
   lightning production will be minimal, a few stronger elevated storms
   could become deep enough for charge separation along the immediate
   coast.

   ..Wendt.. 02/22/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z