SPC AC 060727

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0227 AM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
   AND THE ADJACENT SABINE RIVER VALLEY...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few tornadoes will be possible across parts of southeast Texas
   into western Louisiana on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough will progress into the Midwest/Great Lakes
   regions on Monday. Some thunderstorm activity is possible ahead of
   this trough, but heights will be near neutral or slightly rising
   with time and surface features will be quite disorganized. Stronger
   storms should remain very isolated. An upper-level ridge along the
   West Coast will slowly shift eastward. TC Beryl, currently forecast
   by NHC to be transitioning to a tropical depression Monday into
   Tuesday, will move through parts of eastern Texas. Strong low-level
   winds and rich moisture advection are expected within East Texas
   into parts of western Louisiana.

   ...Parts of East Texas and western Louisiana...
   mid to upper 70s F dewpoints will advect onshore as TC Beryl moves
   into the Upper Texas Gulf Coast. Strong low-level winds should
   extend into parts of western Louisiana with time. Enlarged low-level
   hodographs will favor a few rotating storms near the TC circulation
   and perhaps along pseudo warm front/theta-e boundary to its east. A
   few tornadoes will be possible, particularly in parts of southeast
   Texas into the Sabine River vicinity.

   ..Wendt.. 07/06/2024

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z