SPC AC 011250

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0650 AM CST Fri Mar 01 2024

   Valid 011300Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. Scattered storms are
   most likely over the Southeast, and along northern parts of the West
   Coast.

   ...Discussion...
   As an upper trough continues to depart the Northeast, a temporarily
   lower-amplitude/rather zonal flow field over the U.S. will gradually
   begin to reamplify.  This will occur primarily with respect to a
   deep upper low off the British Columbia coast, that will drift
   slowly southeastward.  As this occurs, the broader cyclonic flow
   field surrounding the low will expand/amplify across the West.

   With persistent moist/westerly upslope flow into the higher
   elevations of the West resulting from the slow southward drift of
   this upper system, lightning potential will likewise continue,
   particularly across western portions of Washington and Oregon and
   into northern and central California.

   Meanwhile, showers and scattered/elevated thunderstorms continue
   across the central Gulf Coast states, in advance of a
   southern-stream short-wave trough.  As the system advances eastward
   today, thunder potential will likewise spread across the Southeast
   through the end of the period.  In all areas, severe weather remains
   unlikely.

   ..Goss/Broyles.. 03/01/2024

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