Chesapeake, VA...Cape Coral, FL...Port St. Lucie, FL...Wilmington, NC...Palm Bay, FL...
MARGINAL
23,018
7,008,966
Virginia Beach, VA...Miami, FL...Norfolk, VA...Hialeah, FL...Richmond, VA...
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
34,220
5,408,530
Chesapeake, VA...Cape Coral, FL...Port St. Lucie, FL...Wilmington, NC...Palm Bay, FL...
2 %
23,213
7,100,453
Virginia Beach, VA...Miami, FL...Norfolk, VA...Hialeah, FL...Richmond, VA...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
15 %
34,297
5,503,384
Chesapeake, VA...Cape Coral, FL...Port St. Lucie, FL...Portsmouth, VA...Wilmington, NC...
5 %
22,739
6,946,887
Virginia Beach, VA...Miami, FL...Norfolk, VA...Hialeah, FL...Richmond, VA...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 100037
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
...SUMMARY...
A couple of tornadoes and damaging wind remain possible through late
evening, mainly across far southeast Virginia, eastern North
Carolina and parts of the central/southern Florida peninsula.
...01z Update...
A line of convection extends across eastern VA/NC and arcing
south/southeast toward the central Florida peninsula as of 0030z.
While instability will remain modest, strong vertical shear will
support a continuation of organized cells/bowing segments within the
broader convective line. A risk for a couple of tornadoes in
addition to strong/damaging gusts will continue for a few more hours
this evening before the overall threat diminishes as convection
moves offshore overnight.
..Leitman.. 01/10/2024
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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