SPC AC 270535

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1135 PM CST Sat Jan 26 2019

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Some thunder potential will exist across the lower Sabine River
   Valley and the Louisiana coastal region.

   ...Discussion...

   A notable short-wave trough is forecast to dig southeast across the
   central Plains into OK/northwest TX by 29/00z. This feature will
   encourage surface pressures to rise across the Plains forcing a cold
   front to a position from western TN-northwest LA-southeast TX by
   early evening. Aided by large-scale forcing for ascent ahead of the
   short wave, weak convection is expected to develop along/immediately
   behind the cold front by late afternoon/early evening. Forecast
   soundings across the lower Sabine River Valley suggest buoyancy may
   be adequate for lightning within the strongest updrafts. While a
   pronounced band of precipitation/convection should evolve along the
   front, much of this activity should remain lightning-free; although
   isolated thunderstorms are possible toward the LA coast during the
   overnight hours.

   ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
   Tornado:  <2%     - None
   Wind:     <5%     - None
   Hail:     <5%     - None

   ..Darrow.. 01/27/2019

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z