Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 261215
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016
VALID 261300Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
FAR SOUTHWEST OREGON IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
...SYNOPSIS...
RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST STATES WITH ANOTHER DROPPING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS.
THE SOUTHEAST SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD...MOVING OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING...WHILE THE CNTRL PLAINS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CONTINUES SEWD THROUGH THE MS VALLEY AND INTO THE CNTRL/SRN
APPALACHIANS. FARTHER W...SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL MOVE FROM THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TOWARDS THE PLAINS WHILE DAMPENING. A COMPACT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW/NRN CA
AFTER 00Z. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONTAL BAND
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH NRN CA. SHEAR IS
SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATION /AND RESULTING SMALL HAIL PRODUCTION/ WITHIN
ANY PERSISTENTLY STRONG UPDRAFTS BUT SCANT INSTABILITY SUGGESTS
PRIMARILY WEAK AND TRANSIENT UPDRAFTS.
..MOSIER.. 02/26/2016
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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