SPC AC 290859
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 AM CST WED OCT 29 2003
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO RISE SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE ERN AND S CNTRL U.S. ON
FRIDAY AS EXISTING POSITIVE TILT TROUGH SLOWLY BEGINS TO WEAKEN IN
THE WEST. ELONGATED SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE
FROM THE MID ATLANTIC CST TO THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO. PERSISTENT
E/SE FLOW ACROSS THE GULF AND SRN PLNS WILL NEVERTHELESS ALLOW FOR A
GRADUAL MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER PARTS OF TX/OK AND THE
LWR MS VLY. ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE RIDGE...A FRONT WILL REMAIN
ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY FROM THE OK/TX PANHANDLE REGION NEWD INTO LWR
MI.
ABSENCE OF WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE FEATURES TO FOCUS MESOSCALE
UPLIFT...COUPLED WITH RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN...ALL SUGGEST VERY MINIMAL THREAT
FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN WARM AIR S OF STALLED FRONT. ONE OR
MORE AREAS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION/POSSIBLE THUNDER MAY ACCOMPANY
PASSING LOW AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCES IN POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT
FARTHER N. SUFFICIENT CAPE...HOWEVER...WILL LIKELY NOT BE PRESENT
TO SUPPORT LARGE HAIL.
..CORFIDI.. 10/29/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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