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Oct- 6-2003 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
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1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   SPC AC 060731
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0231 AM CDT MON OCT 06 2003
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME WILL REMAIN OVER THE UNITED STATES ON
   WEDNESDAY...WITH STRONG UPPER TROUGH AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
   AND NORTHERN ROCKIES.  LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
   NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS...WITH 50S DEWPOINTS AS FAR NORTH AS
   MN/WI BY EVENING.  ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS DIFFER ON STRENGTH/
   TIMING/PLACEMENT OF LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING INTO THE NORTHERN
   PLAINS ON DAY3.  HAVE USED THE ETA PROG FOR THIS OUTLOOK...WHICH
   INDICATES WEAK FORCING AND LITTLE THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
   IN THE PLAINS. HOWEVER...GFS SOLUTION IS FARTHER SOUTH AND
   STRONGER...INDICATING FAVORABLE UVVS SPREADING INTO THE WARM SECTOR
   OVER PARTS OF KS/NEB/IA.  THIS SCENARIO NEEDS TO BE MONITORED IN
   LATER UPDATES FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT
   OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.
   
   ..HART.. 10/06/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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