SPC AC 060731
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 AM CDT MON OCT 06 2003
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME WILL REMAIN OVER THE UNITED STATES ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH STRONG UPPER TROUGH AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS...WITH 50S DEWPOINTS AS FAR NORTH AS
MN/WI BY EVENING. ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS DIFFER ON STRENGTH/
TIMING/PLACEMENT OF LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON DAY3. HAVE USED THE ETA PROG FOR THIS OUTLOOK...WHICH
INDICATES WEAK FORCING AND LITTLE THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
IN THE PLAINS. HOWEVER...GFS SOLUTION IS FARTHER SOUTH AND
STRONGER...INDICATING FAVORABLE UVVS SPREADING INTO THE WARM SECTOR
OVER PARTS OF KS/NEB/IA. THIS SCENARIO NEEDS TO BE MONITORED IN
LATER UPDATES FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT
OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.
..HART.. 10/06/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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