SPC AC 021110
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0610 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN WILL HOLD OVER THE U.S. SATURDAY...WITH SLOW
MOVING UPPER SYSTEM CURRENTLY SHIFTING INTO THE 4-CORNERS REGION
LOSING AMPLITUDE AND GETTING SWEPT INTO STRONGER WLY FLOW ASSOCIATED
WITH ERN U.S. TROUGH. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE SRN
ROCKIES INTO THE 4-CORNERS REGION WITHIN STEEP LAPSE RATES.
ALSO...SURFACE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ALONG THE RED RIVER
VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING. AS SWRN U.S. SYSTEM SHIFTS EWD...
INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY
SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO PERSIST WITHIN COLD MID LEVEL COLD POCKET OVER THE GREAT
LAKES ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SHIFTING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
U.S.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK ACROSS
THESE AREAS...AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES ARE NOT
WARRANTED ATTM.
..EVANS.. 10/02/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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