STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
VALID 141200-151200
LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
COLD TROUGH MOVES ONTO W COAST EARLY IN PERIOD WITH MUCH OF ENERGY
HEADING ACROSS SWRN U.S. UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EWD WITH SWLY FLOW
ACROSS PLAINS INTO UPPER MS VALLEY. SFC LOWS DEVELOP OVER UTAH AND
NRN HIGH PLAINS IN ADVANCE OF UPPER TROUGH WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING EWD INTO WRN UT/AZ BY MONDAY EVENING. LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS
SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO WRN GREAT LAKES WITH CONTINUED SLOWLY
INCREASING GULF MOISTURE.
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION THIS FORECAST PERIOD EXPECTED TO
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SRN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION AHEAD OF COLD TROUGH. WITH LIMITED PRE-FRONTAL
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD APPEAR
TO BE MINIMAL.
ACROSS PLAINS...CAP AND LACK OF UPPER FORCING MOVING THRU THE
RIDGE SHOULD PRECLUDE IMPORTANT CONVECTIVE INITIATION FOR ONE MORE
DAY.
..HALES.. 04/12/03
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
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