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Apr-12-2003 1200 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Categorical Graphic
1200 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
      
Probabilistic Graphic (more info)
1200 Day 3 Prob Graphic
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   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
    
   VALID 141200-151200
    
   LESS THAN A SLIGHT RISK.
   
   COLD TROUGH MOVES ONTO W COAST EARLY IN PERIOD WITH MUCH OF ENERGY
   HEADING ACROSS SWRN U.S. UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EWD WITH SWLY FLOW
   ACROSS PLAINS INTO UPPER MS VALLEY. SFC LOWS DEVELOP OVER UTAH AND
   NRN HIGH PLAINS IN ADVANCE OF UPPER TROUGH WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT
   MOVING EWD INTO WRN UT/AZ BY MONDAY EVENING.  LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS
   SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO WRN GREAT LAKES WITH CONTINUED SLOWLY
   INCREASING GULF MOISTURE.  
   
   POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION THIS FORECAST PERIOD EXPECTED TO
   BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SRN INTERMOUNTAIN
   REGION AHEAD OF COLD TROUGH.  WITH LIMITED PRE-FRONTAL
   MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD APPEAR
   TO BE MINIMAL.  
   
   ACROSS PLAINS...CAP AND LACK OF UPPER FORCING  MOVING THRU THE
   RIDGE  SHOULD PRECLUDE IMPORTANT CONVECTIVE INITIATION FOR ONE MORE
   DAY. 
    
   ..HALES.. 04/12/03
    
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1200Z
        
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