SPC AC 060738
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0138 AM CST THU NOV 06 2003
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S ONP 20 N MHS 30
   NW BFL 15 ESE OXR.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW GDP 20 W HOB
   35 WNW CDS 30 SSE OKC 45 SE FSM 40 NNE ELD 55 NW ESF 50 N CLL 50 ESE
   P07.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CTY 20 SSW AYS
   15 SSE MCN 30 S AHN 25 S SPA 15 WNW SOP 30 N HSE.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD ALONG THE WEST COAST
   FRIDAY...AS MORE ZONAL PATTERN PERSISTS OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
   COUNTRY.  SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD REMAIN STALLED ACROSS SOUTH TX
   INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...WITH SSEWD MOTION CONTINUING TO PUSH
   FRONT OFF THE SRN ATLANTIC COAST AND INTO THE FL PEN DURING THE
   PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN ATLANTIC INTO FL...
   THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN FAIRLY MOIST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
   OVER THIS REGION FRIDAY...AS SURFACE DEW POINTS HOLD IN THE LOWER
   70S.  DESPITE THIS...LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK AND
   ONLY SUPPORT MARGINAL INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON.  THOUGH
   CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH AN
   INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH DURING THE AFTERNOON...OVERALL SEVERE
   POTENTIAL APPEARS RATHER LOW ATTM.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   SEVERAL AREAS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
   THIS REGION...WELL NORTH OF PRIMARY SURFACE COLD FRONTAL ZONE. BEST
   CHANCE OF NEARER SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION WILL BE INTO FAR SWRN TX
   WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIURNAL HEATING ALONG NWRN EDGE OF GULF MOIST
   AXIS WILL SUPPORT MARGINAL TO MODERATE SURFACE-BASED CAPES. 
   HOWEVER...LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT POTENTIAL INSTABILITY APPEAR TOO
   LOW TO WARRANT MENTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ATTM.
   
   ...CENTRAL/NRN CA INTO SWRN ORE...
   MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL DEVELOP ALONG MUCH OF
   THE CA AND ORE COAST DURING THE DAY...IN WAKE OF SURFACE COLD
   FRONT...AS COLD MID LEVEL AIR OVERSPREADS THE REGION.  SHALLOW
   INSTABILITY IN THE SFC-700 MB LAYER IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND WEST OF THE COASTAL RANGES.  THOUGH
   LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG LEFT EXIT REGION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET
   WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL CA LATE IN THE PERIOD...INSTABILITY WILL
   REMAIN WEAK AND SHOULD LIMIT INLAND DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS
   THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   
   ..EVANS.. 11/06/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1730Z