SPC AC 191625
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1125 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2003
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE PBG 10 WSW ALB
   25 N CXY 15 ENE LBE 25 NNW PIT 25 NE CLE ...CONT... 10 SSW MTC 40 W
   MBS 40 SSE ESC 15 N CMX.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER FLOW PATTERN IS FORECAST TO RE-AMPLIFY THIS PERIOD AS STRONG
   SHORT-WAVE TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES
   MOVES SEWD INTO THE MEAN TROUGH POSITION OVER THE ERN CONUS.  AS
   THIS FEATURE MOVES SEWD...RIDGE OVER THE WRN HALF OF THE CONUS IS
   EXPECTED TO EXPAND NWD WITH TIME ACROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE.
   
   PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE
   AFOREMENTIONED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  AS THIS FEATURE -- ACCOMPANIED BY
   STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES -- MOVES SEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES
   REGION...STRONG SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. 
   RESULTING LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION AND STRONG QG FORCING SUGGESTS
   THAT SCATTERED TO ISOLATED / ELEVATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP --
   PRIMARILY LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. 
   LACK OF APPRECIABLE INSTABILITY SHOULD...HOWEVER...PRECLUDE A SEVERE
   THREAT.
   
   ..GOSS.. 10/19/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0800Z