SPC AC 051633
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1033 AM CST FRI DEC 05 2003
VALID 051630Z - 061200Z.
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST...
ENHANCED LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ENEWD THROUGH
THE PERIOD ACROSS THIS REGION. THIS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF STRONG VORT
MAX AND ASSOCIATED EXIT REGION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE TONIGHT...AND ALONG NOSE OF
SELY LLJ NOW SPREADING INTO NEW ENGLAND. DESPITE THE ADDED LIFT AND
ENHANCED PRECIPITATION...LAPSE RATES DO NOT APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
MORE THAN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE WITH RESULTANT CONVECTION
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...PAC NW...
UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND
THE BASE OF THIS LOW. LEADING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NEWD INTO
BC TODAY...WITH TRAILING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVING ALONG THE PAC NW COAST NEAR THE END OF THE
PERIOD. THOUGH ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY CLIP THE NW WA COAST
AS LEADING SYSTEM MOVES INTO BC...BEST CHANCE OF LIGHTNING ALONG THE
PAC NW COAST WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN WAKE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT DURING
THE DAY 2 FORECAST PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING.
..EVANS.. 12/05/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z
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