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Dec- 5-2003 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
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   SPC AC 051633
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1033 AM CST FRI DEC 05 2003
   
   VALID 051630Z - 061200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST...
   ENHANCED LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ENEWD THROUGH
   THE PERIOD ACROSS THIS REGION. THIS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF STRONG VORT
   MAX AND ASSOCIATED EXIT REGION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET FORECAST TO
   APPROACH THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY LATE TONIGHT...AND ALONG NOSE OF
   SELY LLJ NOW SPREADING INTO NEW ENGLAND.  DESPITE THE ADDED LIFT AND
   ENHANCED PRECIPITATION...LAPSE RATES DO NOT APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
   MORE THAN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE WITH RESULTANT CONVECTION
   TODAY AND TONIGHT.  
   
   ...PAC NW...
   UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH
   SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND
   THE BASE OF THIS LOW.  LEADING SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NEWD INTO
   BC TODAY...WITH TRAILING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED
   SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVING ALONG THE PAC NW COAST NEAR THE END OF THE
   PERIOD.  THOUGH ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY CLIP THE NW WA COAST
   AS LEADING SYSTEM MOVES INTO BC...BEST CHANCE OF LIGHTNING ALONG THE
   PAC NW COAST WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN WAKE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT DURING
   THE DAY 2 FORECAST PERIOD SATURDAY MORNING.
   
   ..EVANS.. 12/05/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z
        
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