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Oct-15-2003 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
      
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   SPC AC 151938
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0238 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2003
   
   VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CAR 35 WNW BGR
   40 N BML.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW TUS 25 E TUS 45
   SSE SAD 30 S DMN.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...NRN NEW ENGLAND...
   
   DEEP SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NNEWD ACROSS SRN QUEBEC WHILE
   TRAILING LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE REMAINDER
   OF ME THIS EVENING.  LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A NARROW
   PIE-SHAPED WEDGE OF PARTIAL CLEARING MAY SUPPORT SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY
   LAYER DESTABILIZATION FOR ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW
   SHOWERS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER WRN ME AHEAD OF WIND
   SHIFT...AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD LIFT NEWD AND POSSIBLY DEEPEN
   SUFFICIENTLY TO OBTAIN LIGHTNING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
   
   ...SWRN U.S...
   
   STRONG SFC HEATING BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE OVER MEXICO AND SRN AZ
   HAS CONTRIBUTED TO RECENT CU DEVELOPMENT...AND ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE U.S. BORDER.  ONE OR TWO THUNDERSTORMS
   MAY YET DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER SERN AZ OR PERHAPS EXTREME
   SWRN NM BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SPARSE.
   
   ..DARROW.. 10/15/2003
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0100Z
        
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