SPC AC 130047
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2003
VALID 130100Z - 131200Z
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE BPT 50 SW POE
GGG MLC BVO OJC 10 E CID LSE EAU 85 NNW CMX ...CONT... 15 ENE ANJ
MKG MMO ALN TUP LUL 30 SSE HUM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW HSE 40 NNE EWN
40 W RIC CXY 20 SE NEL.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW FMY 35 SSE AGR
MLB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W INL 25 S BJI 65
S FAR 35 N ABR 40 NW MBG REJ COD 15 ENE WEY 3DU 35 NW GTF GGW 65 N
OLF.
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
ONGOING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS ALREADY DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING...BUT SOME RISK OF ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL PERSIST IN SCATTERED AREAS OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE NIGHT.
...MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
MOIST CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS PRESENT IN TONGUE
ALONG/EAST OF MID-LEVEL SHEAR AXIS ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. SHEAR
AXIS/WIND SHIFT HAS SURGED EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...BUT HAS BECOME
QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
PLAINS...NORTH/NORTHEAST OF CLOSED LOW WHICH HAS DEVELOPED OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS. MODELS SUGGEST CLOSED LOW WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OZARK PLATEAU OVERNIGHT...AS
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SLOWLY AMPLIFY OVER THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ZONE OF ENHANCE
UPPER DIVERGENCE FROM THE MISSOURI OZARKS INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS/
NORTHWEST IOWA...WHERE POTENTIAL FOR NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
APPEARS BEST.
...MID ATLANTIC COAST...
SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT
ACROSS NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. THIS WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG/NORTH OF MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION NOW MIGRATING OFF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.
..KERR.. 09/13/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
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