SPC AC 200058
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2003
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NW
ANJ AUW 10 W LNR 20 SE CID 20 E MKC ICT 45 NNE GAG 10 SW EHA 10 SE
GLD MCK 35 NNE VTN 30 SW ABR 35 ESE INL
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BRO 45 E SAT 55
N CLL 10 N SHV 25 ESE MKO 25 NE CNU 40 SSW AMA 30 SSE ROW 40 W FST
55 SSW MRF ...CONT... CZZ 35 ESE EDW 55 ESE BIH 45 SW TVL 15 WNW RNO
25 WNW BAM 20 NE EKO 30 E U24 25 NW CEZ 35 NW 4SL 25 N SAF 20 WNW
MCK 30 NW LBF 35 SSE DGW 40 NE SHR 55 W GDV 70 SW GGW 35 NW TWF 45 W
OWY 15 NE 4LW 25 SSE RDM 35 SSW PDT 35 SSW GEG 45 NE 63S ...CONT...
35 SE ANJ 55 NW MBL 15 E IRK 30 SSE CGI 25 W CSV 55 E CHA 40 SSW GSO
15 NNE HSE
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS CENTRAL PLAINS NEWD INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY / WRN GREAT LAKES REGION...
...CENTRAL PLAINS NEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...
CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES NEWD
INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH. AIRMASS
REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE...AND DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD REMAINS
SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND ASSOCIATED DAMAGING WIND / HAIL
THREAT OVER A LARGE AREA. GREATEST THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS APPEARS TO
EXIST ACROSS CENTRAL AND ERN NEB NEWD INTO SERN SD / SRN NM / WRN IA
WHERE 30 TO 35 KT MID-LEVEL FLOW IS INDICATED ABOVE INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL JET. STORMS AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE
/ SHIFT NEWD THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
...ERN ORE / CENTRAL ID / WRN MT...
MINIMAL INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ACROSS THE PAC NW / NRN ROCKIES
AHEAD OF STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD ACROSS THE REGION.
SCATTERED TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED...MOST NUMEROUS
ACROSS N CENTRAL ID AND MOVING TOWARD EXTREME WRN MT ATTM WHERE MOST
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS INDICATED. WITH MID-LEVEL FLOW AROUND 45 KT
ACROSS THIS REGION...A THREAT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION EXISTS.
ALTHOUGH A THREAT FOR A LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO REMAINS
POSSIBLE...OVERALL THREAT REMAINS LOW GIVEN LIMITED INSTABILITY.
..GOSS.. 08/20/2003
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 0600Z
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