STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   75 ENE MQT 25 S ESC 15 NNW MKE 20 SE JVL 10 NNE DBQ 35 E MCW
   15 ENE SPW 40 WNW OFK 10 S LBF 30 NNW GCK 15 W LHX 35 SSW DEN
   40 N DGW 45 SSE 3HT 25 NE 3HT 35 NNW GDV 65 NNE ISN.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   25 SE GWO 25 NNW BTR 20 SSW POE 25 ENE LFK 20 N TYR 10 ESE MLC
   30 SW JLN 40 NNW SGF 30 ENE UNO 30 NE PBF 25 SE GWO.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   35 SE EWN 35 S SOP 25 ESE CLT 40 WSW GSO 30 S ROA 10 SSW CHO
   25 SE DOV.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE DRT 20 NE SAT
   20 ENE ACT DUA 35 WSW TUL 10 NE GAG 20 ENE CAO 40 E LVS 10 ESE 4CR
   45 SE ELP ...CONT... CZZ 25 SE RAL 25 NNE LAX 20 NNE SBA 45 NW BFL
   35 E SAC 40 SSW SVE 50 S BNO 55 WSW BKE 30 S LWS 30 SE S06
   20 S GTF 55 N GGW ...CONT... OSC 20 NNE LAN 35 W SBN 30 NNW MLI
   15 SSW FOD 20 NNW OMA 30 ENE BIE 10 NNW FLV 25 N SZL 15 WNW SLO
   20 SSW IND 20 ESE PKB 30 SSW AOO 20 SSE POU 15 SSW HUL.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STAGNANT THIS PERIOD AS RIDGE
   PREVAILS ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND A TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE EAST. 
   MOST ACTIVE REGION FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS PERIOD IS EXPECTED
   ACROSS BOTH THE UPPER AND THE LOWER MS VALLEYS...INVOF TWO
   VORTICITY MAXIMA MOVING THROUGH NWLY FLOW BETWEEN THE WRN RIDGE AND
   ERN TROUGH.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...BAROCLINIC ZONE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FROM THE
   MID-ATLANTIC REGION WSWWD ACROSS THE TN / MID MS VALLEYS AND INTO
   THE SRN PLAINS.  A SECOND / STRONGER FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD
   OUT OF CANADA ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
   PERIOD.
   
   ...UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...
   AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO DESTABILIZE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ERN
   DAKOTAS AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER JET
   STREAK.  STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON NEAR SURFACE
   BOUNDARY...WHERE INCREASINGLY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD IS
   EXPECTED.  ALTHOUGH SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...MAIN
   CONVECTIVE MODE IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY BECOME LINEAR...WITH STORMS
   FORECAST TO EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A BOW ECHO.  
   
   ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH INITIAL
   SUPERCELL STORMS...DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY SEVERE
   THREAT DURING THE EVENING / OVERNIGHT AS DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD
   BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNIDIRECTIONAL AND 65 KT MID-LEVEL JET
   APPROACHES.  
   
   ...CENTRAL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN MARGINALLY-
   UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE HIGHER PLAINS OF SERN WY / NERN CO IN
   WEAK LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...AS WELL AS ACROSS WRN SD / NERN WY
   NEAR WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXPECTED OVER THIS AREA.  THIS REGION WILL
   REMAIN ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT...
   RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR MAINLY MULTICELL
   STORMS AND ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY / OZARKS / ARKLATEX REGION...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM ACROSS AR / NRN MS...AND SHOULD
   CONTINUE MOVING SWD / SSWWD ACROSS THIS REGION.  STORM
   REDEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION INTO
   WRN AR / ERN TN NORTH AND WEST OF ONGOING STORMS DURING THE DAY. 
   SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH MODERATE NLY MID-LEVEL FLOW
   SUGGESTS THAT THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL WILL
   REMAIN OVER THE REGION MOST OF THE DAY.
   
   ...MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
   AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF
   SURFACE BOUNDARY WHICH SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
   PERIOD.  AS AXIS OF UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA...SCATTERED TO
   ISOLATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INVOF SURFACE BOUNDARY. 
   ALTHOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...
   AMOUNT OF SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL CONVECTION AND
   ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL.
   
   ..GOSS.. 07/19/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z