STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 061630Z - 071200Z
   
   THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   30 SSE MKE 15 S MMO 10 S FOD 10 WSW FSD 25 WNW ATY 40 E FAR
   50 WSW HIB 15 ENE EAU 30 ESE VOK 30 SSE MKE.
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   15 NE ERI 15 NW IPT 20 SSW ACY ...CONT... 15 ESE ORF ROA
   30 SSE BMG 20 SE IRK 20 SE LNK 30 N LAA COS 15 NW FCL 45 E DGW
   45 W ABR 30 N FAR 40 W RRT ...CONT... 65 E ELO 25 ENE IWD
   20 WSW ESC 30 ESE OSC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW JHW 25 SSE ELM
   15 E ABE ACY ...CONT... 10 E DAB 60 NE EYW ...CONT... 20 SE FHU
   50 SE SOW 40 SSE FMN 35 NE CEZ 45 NNE U28 55 ESE SLC 35 SE MQM
   55 SSW 27U 55 SSE S80 35 W MSO 45 SSE HVR 50 NNE SHR 50 NNW PHP
   75 NNW GFK.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N RSL 30 NE GCK
   45 SE EHA 50 WNW CDS 15 SW SPS 10 NNE DUA 10 SE FYV 50 SW JEF
   50 SSW IRK 30 N TOP 15 N RSL.
   
   
   
   ...MID MS RIVER VALLEY INTO CENTRAL GREAT LAKES/OH RIVER VALLEY...
   MID LEVEL VORT CENTER AND ASSOCIATED 40 KT WLY SPEED MAX WILL
   CONTINUE EWD OUT OF ERN IA AND ACROSS IL/SRN WI/NRN IND THROUGH THE
   REST OF THE AFTERNOON.  THOUGH EARLIER CONVECTION HAS STABILIZED
   AIR MASS OVER PARTS OF ERN IA/SRN WI...STRONG HEATING AND STEEP
   LAPSE RATES WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF IL/IND BY THE MID AFTERNOON
   UGGESTING CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE AHEAD OF
   APPROACHING VORT MAX.  NRN EXTENT OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL BE LIMITED INTO CENTRAL WI...WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE SLOWER
   TO MATERIALIZE.  REGARDLESS...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUPPORTIVE OF
   SUPERCELLS UNDER 40 KT OF WLY FLOW WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT
   OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN ALSO BE
   EXPECTED NEAR THE VORT CENTER AND ALONG RESIDUAL SURFACE OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARIES.  ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY EVOLVE/ORGANIZE INTO A LINEAR
   STRUCTURE BY THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH DAMAGING WIND THREAT
   PERSISTING INTO THE EVENING POSSIBLY INTO SWRN MI AND CENTRAL/NRN
   IND/WRN OH.
   
   ...NRN MS RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NRN PLAINS...
   IN WAKE OF LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS IA...STRONGER
   SYSTEM IS CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD OVER SRN CANADA AND ND THIS
   AFTERNOON.  VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS
   FORECAST TO SUPPORT STRONG INSTABILITY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON FROM
   ERN SD INTO NRN/CENTRAL MN.  CONVERGENCE WILL BECOME MORE FOCUSED
   BY LATE IN THE DAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM N-
   CENTRAL MN INTO ERN SD...AND NEAR OUTFLOW FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION
   LIKELY EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL/NRN IA INTO SERN SD/NERN NEB.  AS CAP
   WEAKENS AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT INCREASE...RAPID SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 21-00Z.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   CONTINUE TO INDICATE FAVORABLE SHEAR/THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES FOR
   TORNADIC SUPERCELLS AND A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY
   FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER INITIATION.   HOWEVER...ACTIVITY MAY
   ORGANIZE ALONG A COMMON OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND DEVELOP INTO A BOW
   ECHO SYSTEM AND TRACK ESEWD ACROSS THE NRN MS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH
   THE LATE EVENING/EARLY NIGHT TIME HOURS.  SEVERE THREAT MAY BECOME
   WIDESPREAD ACROSS THIS AREA STARTING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE WELL
   INTO THE NIGHT.
   
   ...APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...
   BROAD REGION OF MODEST WLY FLOW AND MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
   WILL BE COLLOCATED FROM THE UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY ACROSS THE
   DELMARVA...WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS APPROACHING THE
   AREA.  THOUGH CONVERGENCE WILL BE WEAK AT THE SURFACE...CONVECTION
   MAY BECOME SCATTERED BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND SHIFT TOWARDS
   THE COAST INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  SHEAR AND INSTABILITY PARAMETERS
   ARE FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
   
   ...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   SLOW MOVING VORT MAX NOW MOVING INTO NWRN CO/SWRN WY WILL CONTINUE
   EWD AND INCREASE MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG
   THE FRONT RANGE OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY.  IN ADDITION...
   PRESSURE FALLS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES SHOULD SUPPORT SURFACE
   WINDS BECOMING MORE ELY LATER TODAY AND MAINTAIN MID 40-LOWER 50F
   DEW POINTS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.  WITH APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL
   SYSTEM AND EXPECTED MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...STRONG TO
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE
   EVENING WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
    
   ..EVANS.. 07/06/03
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 2000Z