STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 091300Z - 101200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
   30 WNW RST 35 WSW LNR 35 ESE MLI 20 SSE STL 10 NNW TBN 30 NNW SZL
   20 W FLV 30 ESE SLN 35 ESE END 45 ENE CSM 20 NW LTS 40 SE LBB
   25 SW LBB 45 NW PVW 40 SE EHA 10 N GCK 10 W LBF 65 ENE CDR
   65 N PHP 30 NNW MBG 45 NE ATY 30 WNW RST.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW FHU 60 W SAD
   45 ESE PRC 40 SE IGM 30 WSW EED 40 SSE DAG 20 WSW DAG 20 N EDW
   40 WSW NID 50 ESE FAT 35 NNE FAT 50 NNE MER 65 SE RBL 15 NNE RBL
   35 WNW RBL 30 ENE ACV 50 SSW MFR 25 WSW 4LW 55 SSE 4LW 50 NNW LOL
   20 S WMC BAM 45 N ENV 40 NNE EVW 25 WNW BPI 55 WSW MQM 30 SSE S80
   30 E ALW 35 S EPH 10 SSE SEA 25 NE UIL ...CONT... 75 E MQT
   45 NW TVC 25 NE MKE 20 NE CMI 25 ESE PAH 20 WNW MSL 25 NNW BHM
   10 S ANB 35 WNW MCN 35 SE CAE 25 WNW HSE ...CONT... 15 SW GPT
   35 NNE MSY 20 NNW BTR 30 SW ESF 50 NW POE 15 SSW TYR 25 SSE FTW
   35 E ABI 20 SSE SJT 35 NW DRT.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE NEL
   30 WNW CXY 15 SSE PSB 15 ESE BFD 15 NNE BUF.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE DURING THE FIRST PART OF
   THE WEEK FROM THE PAC NW INTO NEW ENGLAND WITH A BROAD FLAT RIDGE
   EXISTING FROM S TX TO THE SERN STATES.  SRN EDGE OF A FAIRLY POTENT
   MIDLEVEL IMPULSE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING INTO
   NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON AS NEXT DISTURBANCE DROPS FROM THE NRN
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY TONIGHT.  AT THE
   SURFACE...LEE TROUGH/LOW OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL
   STRENGTHEN...MOVING INTO THE UPPER MS VLY BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
   
   A TRAILING DRYLINE/FRONT WILL TRANSLATE SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN
   PLAINS.  
   
   ...MID/UPPER MO VLY EWD INTO THE MID/UPPER MS VLY...
   UPSTREAM 12 UTC RAOBS AT AMA/DDC SHOW 15-16C H85 DEW POINTS.  SSWLY
   LLJ OF 30-35 KTS SHOULD MAINTAIN MOISTURE FLUX NEWD INTO THE CNTRL
   PLAINS...AND RAPID BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINT RECOVERY IN SHORT TERM
   MODELS SEEM REASONABLE AS THE HIGHER DEW POINTS NEAR H85 MIX TO THE
   SURFACE.  LBF/AMA/DDC BALLOON DATA ALSO SHOW VERY STEEP MIDLEVEL
   LAPSE RATES OF 8-8.5 DEGREES C/KM ATOP THIS MOISTURE...SETTING UP
   A POTENTIALLY VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS.
   
   FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS EWD INTO SD/NEB BY LATE
   AFTERNOON...WITHIN EXIT REGION OF 45-50 KT H5 JETLET.  LOW LEVEL
   MASS FIELDS SHOULD RESPOND WITH STRENGTHENING TRIPLE POINT
   CONVERGENCE ALONG THE NEB/SD BORDER LEADING TO TSTM INITIATION. 
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
   MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THAT VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE
   POSSIBLE.  PRESENCE OF MID 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS COINCIDENT WITH
   LOCAL BACKING OF THE NEAR SURFACE FLOW INVOF WARM FRONT COULD ALSO
   CONTRIBUTE TO A FEW TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY FROM NERN NEB/SERN SD
   INTO WRN IA.  
   
   MOISTURE FLUX AND WARM ADVECTION CONTINUALLY STRENGTHEN AS SSWLY
   LLJ ACCELERATES TO NEARLY 60 KTS LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
   SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY TRANSITION INTO A MCS...POSSIBLY FORWARD
   PROPAGATING ACROSS IA/NRN MO TOWARD THE MS RVR BY TUESDAY MORNING
   WITH DAMAGING WINDS.  KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC SET-UP APPEARS
   FAVORABLE FOR UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT UPSTREAM INTO THE STRONGER CAP
   FARTHER SW ACROSS NRN MO AND PERHAPS NERN KS...WITH A CONTINUED
   HAIL/DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT.  
   
   ...CNTRL/WRN KS INTO NWRN OK/ERN TX PNDL...
   MASS FIELDS SEEM TO POINT TO HIGHEST CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OCCURING
   WELL NORTH IN THE CNTRL PLAINS OVERNIGHT.  HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE
   A CONDITIONAL LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT ALONG THE LEE
   TROUGH/DRYLINE FROM NCNTRL/CNTRL/WRN KS ACROSS NWRN OK INTO THE ERN
   TX PNHDL.  AIR MASS WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE...BUT UNCERTAINTY
   EXISTS ON HOW STRONG THE DRYLINE CIRCULATION WILL BE.  CINH SHOULD
   HOLD OVER MOST LOCATIONS...THOUGH SOME SHORT TERM MODEL MEMBERS
   SHOW SURFACE BASED INITIATION ACROSS SWRN KS/NWRN OK AROUND 00 UTC.
   
   GIVEN A TSTM...DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND THERMODYNAMIC SITUATION WOULD
   LEAD TO SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.  
   
   ...INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND...
   THERE WILL BE A CONDITIONAL LOW PROBABILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS OR
   ISOLD MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ACROSS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS
   MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  WARM ADVECTION REGIME HAS MAINTAINED CLOUDS
   OVERNIGHT AND 12 UTC SOUNDINGS SHOW MEAGER MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. 
   BUT...IF BINOVC CAN DEVELOP...POCKETS OF BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING
   BENEATH COOL 5H TEMPERATURES AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT FROM PASSING
   SHORTWAVE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO BANDS OF TSTMS.  FAIRLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
   FLOW PATTERN COULD ENCOURAGE SMALL SCALE BOW EVOLUTION GIVING WIND
   DAMAGE ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL.
    
   ..RACY/NADEN.. 06/09/03
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z