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Mesoscale Discussion 240
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MD 240 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0240
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0528 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

   Areas affected...Central Indiana into west-central Ohio

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 44...

   Valid 142228Z - 150000Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 44 continues.

   SUMMARY...Large/very-large hail will remain the primary threat with
   ongoing storms. The tornado threat may increase early this evening
   conditional on storms remaining discrete.

   DISCUSSION...Storm coverage has continued to increase in central
   Indiana into west-central Ohio. These discrete storms will continue
   to be capable of large/very-large (1.5-2.5 in.) hail given the
   strong deep-layer shear and steep mid-level lapse rates. Low-level
   shear is not overly strong as surface flow remains rather veered.
   However, there is an expected increase in the low-level jet within
   the mid/upper Ohio Valley this evening. This 850 mb flow will also
   be veered, but storms that can remain discrete into the early
   evening may pose an increased risk of a tornado.

   ..Wendt.. 03/14/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

   LAT...LON   40048734 40678692 41168419 40958300 40378308 40138324
               39678503 39468670 39558720 40048734 

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