Mesoscale Discussion 0241
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0554 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of western/central KS into central/eastern
   NE...northwest IA...and extreme southeast SD/south-central MN

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 191054Z - 191600Z

   SUMMARY...Blizzard conditions will gradually spread eastward through
   the morning. Snow rates of 1-2+ inches per hour are possible, along
   with widespread 50-60+ mph gusts.

   DISCUSSION...Blizzard conditions are ongoing this morning from
   southwest/south-central NE into western KS, to the northwest of a
   powerful 987 mb cyclone centered over northeast KS. Very strong
   deep-layer ascent will continue to  support heavy precipitation
   rates through the morning, aided by very favorable low/midlevel
   frontogenesis, and the presence of elevated buoyancy and
   regenerative convection along the eastern periphery of heavier
   precipitation, near the midlevel dry slot. The heaviest
   precipitation rates will gradually shift eastward through the
   morning, in conjunction with the movement of the cyclone, while
   low-level cold advection and strong ascent result in cooling of the
   column and a changeover to snow in areas that are currently in the
   mid/upper 30s F. 

   Meanwhile, very strong low-level flow increasing to near/above 70 kt
   at 1 km AGL (as noted on the KUEX VWP) will continue to support wind
   gusts in the 50-70 mph range (as already noted through the night
   across parts of KS/NE), resulting in widespread blowing snow and
   blizzard conditions. 

   Short-term guidance generally suggests that the heaviest snow rates
   will become focused from central/northern KS into northeast
   NE/northwest IA later this morning. Areas within the most intense
   snow bands may experience rates of 1-2+ inches per hour, along with
   wind gusts near/above 60 mph, near-zero visibility, and occasional
   lightning. A rather sharp gradient in snow rates is expected along
   the eastern periphery of the heavier precipitation, though the very
   strong wind gusts may result in blizzard conditions even in areas
   that experience only light to moderate snow.

   ..Dean.. 03/19/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...
   DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38510077 40719967 42119789 43089633 43699472 43879405
               43959356 42839368 42219429 40569637 39399748 38399811
               38009859 37749935 37659990 37690043 37810075 38510077