Mesoscale Discussion 1612
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0908 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

   Areas affected...Northeast IL...northern IN...western OH...extreme
   southern MI

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 141408Z - 141615Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Damaging-wind potential may increase through the morning.

   DISCUSSION...A remnant MCS is moving across northeast IL this
   morning, with some recent intensification noted along the gust front
   over the last hour. With relatively limited cloudiness noted over
   northern IN, diurnal destabilization is expected through the morning
   downstream of this system, with strengthening low-level lapse rates
   and MLCAPE potentially increasing to near/above 2000 J/kg. This
   destabilization may allow for continued reorganization of the
   remnant MCS, with a resulting increase in damaging-wind potential as
   it tracks east-southeastward through the morning. Watch issuance is
   possible if further short-term intensification is noted this
   morning.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 07/14/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

   LAT...LON   41828746 42148627 41828417 41278329 40198329 39728407
               39798493 40078660 40228718 40578805 41228843 41828746