Mesoscale Discussion 0392
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1047 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Arkansas...southwestern
   Tennessee...and northern Mississippi

   Concerning...Outlook upgrade 

   Valid 311547Z - 311645Z

   SUMMARY...Portions of the Moderate Risk area over eastern AR,
   southwestern TN, and northern MS will be upgraded to a categorical
   High Risk in the 1630 UTC Convective outlook.

   DISCUSSION...An upgrade to a tornado-driven High Risk (30%
   probability) is expected for the 1630 UTC outlook. Environmental
   conditions are quickly becoming favorable to support the potential
   for numerous strong to potentially violent and long-track tornadoes
   across portions of eastern AR, southwestern TN, and northern MS.
   Please see the forthcoming Day 1 outlook update for more
   information.

   ..Lyons/Smith.. 03/31/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34589185 35279138 35478914 35208857 34628862 34148902
               33759181 33999209 34589185