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Mesoscale Discussion 327 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0327
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0606 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023
Areas affected...Portions of south-central MS
Concerning...Tornado Watch 76...
Valid 242306Z - 250030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 76 continues.
SUMMARY...A couple supercells could mature over parts of
south-central MS during the next hour or two -- posing an increased
tornado threat.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar data from DGX depicts a loosely organized
supercell tracking north-northeastward across parts of south-central
MS. This storm is evolving along the eastern edge of the warm sector
and slightly south of an east/west-oriented marine front --
demarcating the richer boundary-layer moisture (middle/upper 60s
dewpoints) to the south. This portion of the warm sector had
substantial diurnal destabilization/steepening low-level lapse rates
amid the rich moisture (see 21Z observed JAN sounding). Ahead of the
ongoing storm, visible satellite imagery shows billow clouds
transitioning to HCRs -- indicative of a favorable overlap of
boundary-layer instability and low-level shear. The VWP hodograph
from DGX confirms this, indicating an expanding/clockwise-turning
hodograph as well. If the developing storms can maintain appreciable
residence time south of the marine warm front during the next couple
hours, this corridor could be locally favorable for tornadoes.
..Weinman.. 03/24/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
LAT...LON 31928928 31658957 31649007 31959075 32339071 32699049
33079019 33168980 33118939 33038922 32808905 32508901
32208914 31928928
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