Mesoscale Discussion 0409
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1222 PM CDT Tue Apr 05 2022

   Areas affected...Portions of southeastern AL into southern/central
   GA and the FL Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 95...96...

   Valid 051722Z - 051845Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95, 96 continues.

   SUMMARY...The potential for numerous to widespread damaging winds
   and multiple tornadoes will continue into Georgia this afternoon. A
   strong tornado remains possible.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple CC minima/TDSs have been noted on area radars
   across southeastern AL over the past couple of hours with
   circulations embedded within the line and cells ahead of it. As the
   northern portion of the line moves from southeastern AL into
   west-central GA, there should be a relative minimum in instability
   present due to leading stratiform rain. This may temper the
   northward extent of the substantial severe risk into central GA.
   Still, both low-level and deep-layer shear will remain rather
   strong, and supportive of convective organization through this
   afternoon. The trailing southern portion of the line will have
   access to better instability and low-level moisture, and may pose a
   greater severe threat in the near term. If the line can begin to
   accelerate and develop a cold pool as some short-term guidance
   suggests, then the threat for numerous to potentially widespread
   damaging winds would subsequently increase in southern GA and
   vicinity. Low-level shear will also remain strong. Accordingly,
   tornadoes may occur with circulations embedded within the line, and
   with any supercells that can develop ahead of it. A strong tornado
   remains possible.

   ..Gleason.. 04/05/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31368658 31828586 32378558 32828522 33108504 33308368
               33248293 32908291 32308313 32108312 31618389 30788489
               30978694 31368658