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Mesoscale Discussion 408
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0408
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1045 AM CDT Tue Apr 05 2022

   Areas affected...Portions of southeastern AL

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 95...

   Valid 051545Z - 051715Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues.

   SUMMARY...The greatest severe threat, including the potential for
   strong tornadoes, should focus across parts of southeastern Alabama
   in the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...A small bowing line and two leading supercells ahead of
   it will continue to move eastward across parts of southeastern AL
   this morning. The low-level airmass ahead of this activity is not
   overly unstable, but boundary-layer instability will probably be
   sufficient for a persistent severe threat. Recent VWPs from KMXX and
   KEOX show a very favorable low-level wind profile, with 0-1 km SRH
   exceeding 400 m2/s2. Indeed, strong low-level rotation has been
   noted with both leading supercells, and a tornado threat remains
   apparent. A strong tornado also remains a possibility given the
   strength of the low-level flow and enhanced hodograph in the 0-3 km
   layer. Damaging winds should be a threat with the bowing line as
   well.

   ..Gleason.. 04/05/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31558694 32048684 32488634 32458522 32168509 31638523
               31418549 31368645 31558694 

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