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Mesoscale Discussion 408 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0408
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 AM CDT Tue Apr 05 2022
Areas affected...Portions of southeastern AL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 95...
Valid 051545Z - 051715Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues.
SUMMARY...The greatest severe threat, including the potential for
strong tornadoes, should focus across parts of southeastern Alabama
in the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION...A small bowing line and two leading supercells ahead of
it will continue to move eastward across parts of southeastern AL
this morning. The low-level airmass ahead of this activity is not
overly unstable, but boundary-layer instability will probably be
sufficient for a persistent severe threat. Recent VWPs from KMXX and
KEOX show a very favorable low-level wind profile, with 0-1 km SRH
exceeding 400 m2/s2. Indeed, strong low-level rotation has been
noted with both leading supercells, and a tornado threat remains
apparent. A strong tornado also remains a possibility given the
strength of the low-level flow and enhanced hodograph in the 0-3 km
layer. Damaging winds should be a threat with the bowing line as
well.
..Gleason.. 04/05/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 31558694 32048684 32488634 32458522 32168509 31638523
31418549 31368645 31558694
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