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Mesoscale Discussion 395
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0395
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0257 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

   Areas affected...portions of the southern Florida Peninsula

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 041957Z - 042130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A couple instances of large hail or damaging gusts remain
   possible with the stronger storms through the remainder of the
   afternoon. Storms are near their peak in coverage and intensity,
   with gradual weakening expected by sunset.

   DISCUSSION...Transient multicellular thunderstorm clusters continue
   to develop along sea-breeze boundaries and along the leading edges
   of cold pools originating from the outflows of earlier storms. While
   a few sub-severe hail reports have been received over the last
   couple of hours, KAMX and MRMS mosaic radar data show 1-2 inch MESH
   values, with MRMS also depicting 50 dBZ echoes extending up to 40
   kft in the stronger storms. As such, the stronger cells that
   propagate into a pristine airmass should continue to pose a severe
   hail and damaging gust threat through the remainder of the
   afternoon. By sunset, cooling of the boundary layer should reduce
   buoyancy and result the gradual weakening of the storms.

   ..Squitieri/Mosier.. 04/04/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   25138082 26518197 27298230 27748220 27918182 27828117
               27368051 26918027 26248011 25728016 25368031 25138082 

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