Mesoscale Discussion 2051
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0701 AM CST Tue Dec 21 2021

   Areas affected...South FL

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 568...

   Valid 211301Z - 211430Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 568 continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts are possible with the stronger storm
   moving into the SRQ vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places the warm front from VNC
   eastward across the FL Peninsula to PBI. Am earlier supercell
   dissipated at is moved onshore near Fort Myers, with showers now
   covering much of the watch area south of the warm front. A stronger
   thunderstorm is moving eastward towards SRQ, just north of the warm
   front. Primary severe threat with this storm is damaging wind gusts.
   Position of this storm north of the warm front suggest the tornado
   potential is low, although the veering low-level wind profile
   (sampled well by the TBW VAD) suggests the threat is non zero.

   ..Mosier.. 12/21/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

   LAT...LON   27358278 27608259 27578188 27388151 26858120 26178108
               25778161 25968202 26918245 27358278