Mesoscale Discussion 0613
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0606 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021

   Areas affected...TX Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169...

   Valid 142306Z - 150030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe wind threat should increase between now and 0030Z,
   as ongoing strong storms consolidate and move eastward. A few
   significant gusts (65 kt or greater) will be possible.

   DISCUSSION...At 23Z, numerous strong/potentially severe storms are
   ongoing across the western TX Panhandle. MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg
   and effective shear of 30-40 kt will continue to support organized
   structures, with a short-term risk of locally severe downbursts and
   perhaps some hail. 

   With numerous strong storms ongoing upstream of a relatively warm
   and well-mixed environment, some upscale growth is expected within
   the next hour as cold pools begin to consolidate. As this occurs, a
   swath of potentially more widespread severe wind gusts could develop
   into the central TX Panhandle between now and 0030Z, in conjunction
   with an eastward-moving cluster that may evolve into a loosely
   organized MCS. A few significant (65 kt or greater) gusts will be
   possible depending on how well any upscale growth can organize.

   ..Dean.. 05/14/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34360276 35060261 35730241 35760153 35340131 34580137
               34120156 33970223 34070274 34360276