MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0239 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL IL...NRN/CNTRL IND...SE LOWER MI...NW OH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 261939Z - 262115Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
   INTO THIS EVENING. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
   LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

   DISCUSSION...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF
   WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPED S/SW THROUGH CENTRAL LOWER MI INTO NW IND AND
   CENTRAL IL. DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TO
   LOW 90S HAS RESULTED IN MLCAPE VALUES GREATER THAN 1500 J/KG.
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK...IN THE 20-35 KT RANGE...BUT WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN CLUSTERS AND LINE SEGMENTS. ISOLATED STRONG
   WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS. POOR MIDLEVEL
   LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT HAIL THREAT. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
   REMAIN BRIEF/SPORADIC AND A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 06/26/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

   LAT...LON   41698630 42338496 42478422 42388358 42088314 41698317
               41158359 40618429 39998541 39528646 39398704 39198796
               39238848 39598901 40118883 40898769 41698630