MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2167
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0740 AM CST MON NOV 26 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE/SWRN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 261340Z - 261545Z
   
   ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH INDIVIDUAL CONVECTIVE
   CELLS WITHIN A SOLID LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE FLA PANHANDLE. THE
   SMALL AREAL EXTENT AND MARGINAL NATURE OF THE SVR THREAT SHOULD
   PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
   
   SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATES A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS LIFTED NWD
   THROUGH PENSACOLA AND EXTENDS FROM SRN WASHINGTON COUNTY SEWD INTO
   WRN FRANKLIN COUNTY. THE AIRMASS SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WAS
   MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AS DEWPTS HAVE RISEN TO AROUND 70 DEG F
   SUPPORTING MUCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG. A WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE LINE
   WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AROUND 20 KTS ACROSS THE FLA
   PANHANDLE/SWRN GA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH INDIVIDUAL
   CONVECTIVE CELLS MOVING NEWD AROUND 40 KTS. STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR
   /0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 30 KTS PER THE VWP AT TLH/ ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
   MAY SUPPORT A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO WITH ANY CELL THAT INTERACTS WITH
   THE BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION...GIVEN THE SPEED OF INDIVIDUAL
   CELLS...ISOLATED DMGG WING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. MORE STABLE
   AIRMASS /DEWPTS IN THE MID 60S/ TO THE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT OVER
   SWRN GA SUGGESTS LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THIS AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/26/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...
   
   31258525 30518574 30138564 29788526 29908437 30288393
   30918353 31278366 31448406