MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0796
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0549 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272...
   
   VALID 142249Z - 150045Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272
   CONTINUES.
   
   STORMS HAVE WEAKENED RECENTLY OVER PARTS OF NERN CO NEAR THE WY/CO
   BORDER.  MEANWHILE...STORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY
   OVER PUEBLO COUNTY JUST N OF COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  ACTIVITY IS
   BEING ENHANCED BY UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME ALONG AXIS OF MODERATE
   INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPE IS BETWEEN 1000-1500 J/KG.  FAVORABLE
   TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER COMBINED WITH
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.5C/KM INDICATES CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR
   DOWNBURSTS NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   ..MCCARTHY.. 05/14/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
   
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