STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.
   
   VALID 151300Z - 161200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MFE
   10 ENE CRP 25 ESE SAT 25 SSE TYR 20 NE TXK 10 SW JBR 20 NNE MKL
   45 SW BNA 50 WSW CSV 25 S CHA 10 N AUO 45 N CEW PNS.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW DRT 25 NNW DAL
   10 W FYV 10 NW IRK 15 S CMI 40 NNE SDF 20 NE JKL 25 ENE TRI
   35 ESE SPA 15 W AGS 15 S TLH.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE BLI 30 SE OLM
   20 NE MFR 30 NNW RBL 60 NW SFO.
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN
   PLAINS TODAY.  STRONGEST IMPULSE...CURRENTLY EJECTING NEWD ACROSS
   DEEP S TX...IS EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE INTO THE LOWER MS VLY BY THIS
   EVENING.  SURFACE LOW OVER SCNTRL TX WILL MOVE NEWD ALONG THE TX
   COAST WHILE A SECONDARY LOW OVER THE OZARKS REDEVELOPS SEWD INTO
   THE LOWER MS VLY.  BOUNDARY SITUATED FROM THE TX COAST NEWD INTO
   THE TN VLY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FRONTOGENETICAL AS ARCTIC FRONT
   UPSTREAM IN NCNTRL TX-AR MOVES SEWD INTO THE DEEP SOUTH BY 16/12
   UTC.
   
   ...SERN TX TO LOWER MS VLY...
   TSTMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN INTENSITY WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR BELT
   AHEAD OF DEEP S TX IMPULSE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  AS THE
   LARGE SCALE ASCENT/FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING INCREASES THROUGH THE
   MORNING...STRONGEST TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP OR BE MAINTAINED...ROUGHLY
   FROM ALONG TX COAST NEWD INTO LA...SRN AR...CNTRL/NRN MS AND INTO
   PARTS OF WRN/MIDDLE TN.  
   
   12 UTC SOUNDINGS AT CRP/FTW/OUN SUGGEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7-
   7.5 C/KM STREAMING EWD ATOP 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS AND THIS SHOULD
   AUGMENT POTENTIAL INSTABILITY.  MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR REALIZING
   THIS INSTABILITY WILL BE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS/PCPN ALREADY IN PLACE. 
   NONETHELESS...ANY HEATING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD LEAD TO
   POCKETS OF SBCAPES OF 1000 J/KG AND SUPPORT STRONGER TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS CNTRL/SRN LA
   INTO CNTRL MS THIS AFTERNOON.  5H FLOW OF 50-60 KTS ACROSS THE AREA
   WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
   SEVERE WEATHER.   SWLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW REGIME ALONG THE FRONT
   WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A SLOW MOVING LINEAR BAND OF TSTMS THAT COULD
   CONTAIN EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...BUT MORE LIKELY THE POTENTIAL FOR
   LEWPY STRUCTURES.  THUS...MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  
   
   ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH...REACHING AL AND
   WRN FL PANHANDLE BY SUNDAY MORNING WITH A CONTINUED DAMAGING WIND
   AND LIMITED HAIL THREAT.
   
   ..RACY.. 02/15/03
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED FOR 1630Z