Mesoscale Discussion 0081
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1251 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2024

   Areas affected...Southwest/Central/Eastern OK...Southeast
   KS...Southwest/South-Central MO...Northeast AR

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 220651Z - 221245Z

   SUMMARY...Freezing rain, with rates of 0.01" to 0.03" per hour, will
   continue across much of central and eastern Oklahoma and into the
   Ozark Plateau for the next several hours.

   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery continues to show a large area
   of precipitation from OK into the Ozark Plateau. This area of
   precipitation, which is a supported by moderate warm-air advection
   across the southern Plains, is gradually moving
   eastward/northeastward and is occurring within an area of largely
   sub-freezing surface temperatures. A more coherent area of
   precipitation is entering the Ozark Plateau vicinity, where light
   but steady precipitation should lead to freezing rain rates on the
   order of 0.01" to 0.03" per hour. This initial area of precipitation
   is followed by a more banded precipitation structure, which is
   ongoing over central OK now. Precipitation rates within these bands
   are likely equivalent to those within the more broad area of
   precipitation (i.e. around 0.01" to 0.03"), but higher rates are
   possible if deeper convection is realized within any of these bands.
   Lightning was recently observed in Cooke County TX, which is
   indicative of some deeper convective cores and higher precipitation
   rates. 

   Temperatures across this region are expected to stay below freezing
   for the next several hours, with temperatures then warming above
   freezing around 10 to 12Z across south-central and southeast OK.
   Gradual warming is expected to then expand northeastward over time,
   ending the threat for freezing rain.

   ..Mosier.. 01/22/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34309907 35519815 36339726 37409554 37489206 35889252
               34139432 33769678 34309907